Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer 300 passing yards (actual 304)

2) Ted Ginn 30 receiving yards (actual 29)

3) Michael Floyd 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

4) Matt Ryan would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 448)

5) Roddy White 78 receiving yards (actual 72)

6) C.J. Spiller 11.7 fantasy points (actual 12.4)

7) Cam Newton would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual )

8) Matt Forte 17.6 fantasy points (actual 16.9)

9) Mohamed Sanu 33 receiving yards (actual 36)

10) Tony Romo 287 passing yards (actual 281)

11) DeMarco Murray 27 receiving yards (actual 25)

12) Terrance Williams 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

13) Emmanuel Sanders 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

14) Reggie Bush would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 57 yards below average)

15) Calvin Johnson would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 164)

16) Matthew Stafford would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 346)

17) Joique Bell 54 rushing yards (actual 51)

18) Andre Johnson 83 receiving yards (actual 93)

19) DeAndre Hopkins 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Andrew Luck would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 131 yards above average)

21) T.Y. Hilton 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

22) Julian Edelman 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

23) Tim Wright would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 26 yards below average)

24) Drew Brees 342 passing yards (actual 333)

25) Pierre Thomas 9.1 fantasy points (actual 8.9)

26) Jimmy Graham 87 receiving yards (actual 82)

27) Chris Johnson 24 receiving yards (actual 23)

28) Eric Decker 77 receiving yards (actual 74)

29) Geno Smith 231 passing yards (actual 221)

30) James Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

31) Denarius Moore would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 45 yards below average)

32) Rod Streater 50 receiving yards (actual 46)

33) Zach Ertz 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

34) Eddie Royal 19 receiving yards (actual 20)

35) Ryan Mathews would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 47 yards below average)

36) Keenan Allen 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

37) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

38) Frank Gore 69 rushing yards (actual 66)

39) Vernon Davis 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

40) Tavon Austin 33 receiving yards (actual 34)

41) Delanie Walker 36 receiving yards (actual 37)

42) Kendall Wright 5.9 receptions (actual = 6)

43) DeSean Jackson 65 receiving yards (actual 62)

44) Andre Roberts 2.2 fantasy points (actual 2.2)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 1 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 298 1.9 298 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 245 1.1 245 1.1 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 227 1.8 227 1.8 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 1 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 103 0.5 103 0.5 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 77 0.4 77 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.3 40 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 1 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 94 0.6 94 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 73 0.3 73 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 44 0.3 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w2