Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Larry Fitzgerald would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards below average)

2) Steven Jackson 73 total yards (actual 76 yards)

3) Justin Forsett 14.1 fantasy points (actual 13.8)

4) Steve L Smith 65 receiving yards (actual 70)

5) Jay Cutler projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

6) Alshon Jeffery 6.4 receptions (actual = 6)

7) Taylor Gabriel would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

8) Dez Bryant 90 receiving yards (actual 82)

9) DeMarco Murray would rush for 100+ yards (actual 179)

10) Matthew Stafford 23.0 fantasy points (actual 24.2)

11) Aaron Rodgers 328 passing yards (actual 327)

12) Eddie Lacy 76 rushing yards (actual 73)

13) Andrew Luck 281 passing yards (actual 294)

14) Jamaal Charles 89 rushing yards (actual 91)

15) Jarvis Landry 61 receiving yards (actual 55)

16) Greg Jennings 50 receiving yards (actual 52)

17) Tom Brady 303 passing yards (actual 317)

18) Rob Gronkowski 88 receiving yards (actual 87)

19) Eli Manning 273 passing yards (actual 260)

20) Larry Donnell 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

21) Chris Johnson 51 rushing yards (actual 53)

22) Darren McFadden would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

23) Andre Holmes 41 receiving yards (actual 38)

24) Jeremy Maclin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 70 yards below average)

25) Malcom Floyd 56 receiving yards (actual 54)

26) Marshawn Lynch 15.1 fantasy points (actual 15.3)

27) Doug Baldwin 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

28) Russell Wilson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 58 yards above average)

29) Frank Gore 69 rushing yards (actual 63)

30) Michael Crabtree 53 receiving yards (actual 56)

31) Nate Washington 60 receiving yards (actual 56)

32) Delanie Walker 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 14 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 279 2.2 286 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 243 2.2 253 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 246 1.3 222 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 14 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 128 1.6 113 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 67 0.4 82 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.1 39 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 14 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 110 0.7 92 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 52 0.3 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 46 0.2 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w15