Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

2) Malcom Floyd 8.2 fantasy points (actual 8.5)

3) LeVeon Bell 93 rushing yards (actual 95)

4) Antonio Brown 98 receiving yards (actual 97)

5) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

6) Riley Cooper 30 receiving yards (actual 32)

7) Andre Holmes 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

8) Rueben Randle 53 receiving yards (actual 52)

9) Kenny Stills 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

10) Brandon LaFell 5.4 receptions (actual = 5)

11) Tom Brady projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

12) Greg Jennings 42 receiving yards (actual 45)

13) Jamaal Charles 26 receiving yards (actual 24)

14) Allen Hurns 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

15) Coby Fleener 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

16) T.Y. Hilton 12.6 fantasy points (actual 12.2)

17) Andrew Luck would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 370)

18) Aaron Rodgers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 368)

19) Joique Bell would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 42 yards above average)

20) Matthew Stafford 24.3 fantasy points (actual 23.6)

21) Emmanuel Sanders 6.2 receptions (actual = 6)

22) Terrance Williams 41 receiving yards (actual 38)

23) Andrew Hawkins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 53 yards below average)

24) Alshon Jeffery 73 receiving yards (actual 71)

25) Brandon Marshall 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

26) Jay Cutler 267 passing yards (actual 280)

27) Matt Forte 51 receiving yards (actual 52)

28) Kelvin Benjamin 62 receiving yards (actual 56)

29) Greg Olsen 59 receiving yards (actual 59)

30) Robert Woods 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Torrey Smith 60 receiving yards (actual 65)

32) Matt Ryan 21.7 fantasy points (actual 20.8)

33) John Carlson 3.9 fantasy points (actual 3.8)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 13 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 298 2.2 286 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 257 1.9 253 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 166 0.4 220 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 13 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 131 0.8 112 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 93 0.6 83 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 36 0.1 39 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 13 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 91 0.7 89 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 60 0.5 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 43 0.2 42 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w14