Trader's Alley: Buy Low, Sell High


Pros and Cons to Consider Before Closing the Deal

This column is designed to quickly unearth some not so obvious things to help you... buy low and sell high.

Further, we suggest you only make a trade if you receive plenty of value in return and the deal results in an improved roster for your squad. In short, obtain players that will outperform their current perceived value while trading overrated talent. Do that and you'll be on your way to improving your roster. The perfect trade!

Owners considering trades should also consult our Rest-of-Season Rankings and Player Trade Evaluator.


The Playoffs are Coming!

With the playoffs just around the corner, we have heard from many of you that you already have a playoff spot locked up and are beginning to look ahead towards the playoffs. This week, I'm pleased to announce, we are rolling out a brand new report for subscribers designed to help you start planning your playoff matchups. We leverage our signature Strength of Schedule metric, Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed by position (aFPA), to rank all relevant fantasy players based solely on playoff strength of schedule.

>> The Playoff aFPA Matchup Planner


Keeper/Dynasty League Targets

We've asked our friends at DynastyLeagueFootball (be sure to check them out if you play in a keeper or dynasty league!) to recommend a few end of season targets for those of you playing in keeper or dynasty leagues. Below are some suggestions from DLF writer Ryan McDowell.

As the end of the regular season approaches in your keeper or dynasty league, with every move you make, you should consider the long-term ramifications on your team. With this is mind, now is a great time to make a move for some young, high-upside players who could make a big impact in 2015, especially if your team is already out of contention. Flipping veterans who could help another team win now for players that could carry you to a future title is a key move to make in year round leagues. Here are a couple of players you may want to consider:

Carlos Hyde, RB SF

The rookie running back for the 49ers, Carlos Hyde, had a nice game in Week 10, including a touchdown run, and that may already be driving up his price, but I think Hyde is well worth it. Long time starter Frank Gore is finally showing his age, and with his contract ending at the conclusion of the season, the 9ers may be ready to move on to the former Ohio State back. Hyde was drafted in the first round of most rookie drafts in the spring, so acquiring him for anything less would be a bargain. I expect he would still cost a future first round pick, but flipping a solid veteran like Jeremy Maclin or Arian Foster wouldn’t be a bad idea.

Ladarius Green, TE SD

Many pegged 2014 as the breakout season for Chargers’ tight end Ladarius Green, but instead it’s been another amazing year from future Hall of Famer Antonio Gates, who is again a top ten tight end. With that said, Gates is 34 years old and Green hasn’t lost the measurable and athletic ability that had fantasy players drooling during the off-season. Unlike many other young players, Green hasn’t disappointed with his play, he’s just failed to get on the field, and his lack of production has his fantasy owners frustrated. Now is the time to take advantage of that frustration and make a deal.

A few other targets I’d be buying in deep keeper or dynasty leagues include: Teddy Bridgewater, Christine Michael, Eric Ebron, Donte Moncrief, Devonta Freeman, Jace Amaro, Victor Cruz, Travis Kelce.

And now on to our regularly scheduled programming...


Trade for Mark Ingram

Why trade for him now?

1) Schedule gets much easier.

2) Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

3) Has a soft game this week.



Possible trade bait to land him:

Giovani Bernard

Rashad Jennings

Steve L Smith

Trade for Jordy Nelson

Why trade for him now?

1) Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

2) Has a soft game this week.



Possible trade bait to land him:

LeSean McCoy

Marshawn Lynch

Drew Brees

Trade for Odell Beckham

Why trade for him now?

1) Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

2) Young, learning with huge upside talent.



Possible trade bait to land him:

Ryan Mathews

Frank Gore

Brandon LaFell

Trade away John Brown

Why trade him away now?

1) Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

2) Schedule gets much harder.

3) Faces a very difficult opponent this week.



Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:

Keenan Allen

Jordan Matthews

Torrey Smith

Trade away Rashad Jennings

Why trade him away now?

1) Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

2) Faces a very difficult opponent this week.



Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:

Randall Cobb

T.Y. Hilton

Mark Ingram

Trade away Darren Sproles

Why trade him away now?

1) History shows older players wear down more during the season.

2) RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

3) Perceived value is high coming off of a big prime time performance.

Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:

Martavis Bryant

Brandin Cooks

Greg Olsen

Marshawn Lynch

Why trade him away now?

1) Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

2) Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

3) Schedule gets much more difficult.



Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:

Jordy Nelson

Calvin Johnson

Matt Forte

Trade Pros and Cons: Full Breakdown

C.J. Anderson

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Montee Ball

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Odell Beckham

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Joique Bell

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Kelvin Benjamin

Has a soft game this week.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Martellus Bennett

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Giovani Bernard

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Anquan Boldin

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Blake Bortles

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Ahmad Bradshaw

Has a soft game this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Tom Brady

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Drew Brees

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

John Brown

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Dez Bryant

Schedule gets much easier.

Martavis Bryant

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Reggie Bush

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Jordan Cameron

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Randall Cobb

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.

Jared Cook

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Brandin Cooks

Schedule gets much easier.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Isaiah Crowell

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Jay Cutler

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Knile Davis

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Larry Donnell

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Eric Ebron

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Andre Ellington

Schedule gets much harder.

Mike Evans

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Larry Fitzgerald

Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Malcom Floyd

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Justin Forsett

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Matt Forte

Has a soft game this week.

Pierre Garcon

Has a soft game this week.

Antonio Gates

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Josh Gordon

Has a soft game this week.

Frank Gore

Has a soft game this week.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Jimmy Graham

Schedule gets much easier.

A.J. Green

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Robert Griffin III

Has a soft game this week.

Rob Gronkowski

Has a soft game this week.

Jeremy Hill

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

T.Y. Hilton

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Carlos Hyde

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Mark Ingram

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.

Chris Ivory

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

DeSean Jackson

Has a soft game this week.

Fred Jackson

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Steven Jackson

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Vincent Jackson

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Rashad Jennings

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Andre Johnson

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Colin Kaepernick

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Travis Kelce

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Marshawn Lynch

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Jeremy Maclin

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Eli Manning

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Peyton Manning

Has a soft game this week.

Ryan Mathews

Has a soft game this week.
Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Jordan Matthews

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

LeSean McCoy

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Darren McFadden

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Jerick McKinnon

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Heath Miller

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Lamar Miller

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Alfred Morris

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

DeMarco Murray

Schedule gets much easier.

Jordy Nelson

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.

Branden Oliver

Has a soft game this week.
Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Kyle Orton

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Adrian Peterson

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Trent Richardson

Has a soft game this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Mychal Rivera

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Aaron Rodgers

Has a soft game this week.

Tony Romo

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Kyle Rudolph

Has a soft game this week.

Emmanuel Sanders

Has a soft game this week.

Bishop Sankey

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Mohamed Sanu

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Alex Smith

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Steve L Smith

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Torrey Smith

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Darren Sproles

History shows older players wear down more during the season.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Ben Tate

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Demaryius Thomas

Has a soft game this week.

Delanie Walker

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.

Mike Wallace

Has a soft game this week.
Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Sammy Watkins

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Reggie Wayne

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Terrance West

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Roddy White

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Terrance Williams

Schedule gets much easier.

Russell Wilson

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Jason Witten

Schedule gets much easier.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Segmenting Players by Category

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued:

C.J. Anderson

John Brown

Anquan Boldin

Torrey Smith

Martavis Bryant

Brandin Cooks

Roddy White

Jared Cook

Mychal Rivera

Jason Witten





Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now:

Colin Kaepernick

Eli Manning

Chris Ivory

Knile Davis

Jeremy Hill

Fred Jackson

Lamar Miller

Steve L Smith

Mohamed Sanu

Sammy Watkins

Jeremy Maclin

A.J. Green

Travis Kelce





Schedule gets much harder:

Andre Ellington

John Brown

Larry Fitzgerald





Schedule gets much easier:

Tony Romo

Drew Brees

Mark Ingram

DeMarco Murray

Terrance Williams

Brandin Cooks

Dez Bryant

Jason Witten

Jimmy Graham





RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team:

Isaiah Crowell

Reggie Bush

Branden Oliver

Montee Ball

C.J. Anderson

Ben Tate

Terrance West

Darren Sproles

Trent Richardson

Adrian Peterson

Jerick McKinnon

Joique Bell

Ryan Mathews

Jeremy Hill

Giovani Bernard

Ahmad Bradshaw

LeSean McCoy





Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16:

Eli Manning

Tony Romo

Drew Brees

Isaiah Crowell

Reggie Bush

Montee Ball

C.J. Anderson

Ben Tate

Terrance West

Chris Ivory

Joique Bell

Fred Jackson

Lamar Miller

Alfred Morris

Mark Ingram

Justin Forsett

Vincent Jackson

Mike Evans

Odell Beckham

Randall Cobb

Jordy Nelson

Delanie Walker





Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16:

Russell Wilson

Darren McFadden

Branden Oliver

Ryan Mathews

Rashad Jennings

Marshawn Lynch

Mike Wallace

Heath Miller

Mychal Rivera





Faces a very difficult opponent this week:

Alex Smith

Jay Cutler

Kyle Orton

Russell Wilson

Reggie Bush

Montee Ball

C.J. Anderson

Joique Bell

Lamar Miller

Rashad Jennings

John Brown

Reggie Wayne

Anquan Boldin

Larry Fitzgerald

Brandin Cooks

T.Y. Hilton

Jordan Cameron

Larry Donnell

Martellus Bennett





Has a soft game this week:

Robert Griffin III

Aaron Rodgers

Peyton Manning

Branden Oliver

Trent Richardson

Frank Gore

Ryan Mathews

Ahmad Bradshaw

Mark Ingram

Matt Forte

Pierre Garcon

Mike Wallace

Kelvin Benjamin

Josh Gordon

DeSean Jackson

Randall Cobb

Emmanuel Sanders

Jordy Nelson

Demaryius Thomas

Kyle Rudolph

Delanie Walker

Rob Gronkowski





History shows older players wear down more during the season:

Tony Romo

Tom Brady

Drew Brees

Darren Sproles

Steven Jackson

Frank Gore

Fred Jackson

Malcom Floyd

Andre Johnson

Reggie Wayne

Anquan Boldin

Steve L Smith

Roddy White

Jason Witten

Antonio Gates





Young, learning with huge upside talent:

Sammy Watkins

Mike Evans

Eric Ebron

Odell Beckham

Brandin Cooks

Jordan Matthews

Blake Bortles

Kelvin Benjamin

Bishop Sankey

Carlos Hyde

Jeremy Hill





Could be rested if team clinches a top playoff seed:


Filed Under: 2014, w11