Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) John Carlson 31 receiving yards (actual 33)

2) Devin Hester would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

3) Roddy White 69 receiving yards (actual 72)

4) Justin Forsett 109 total yards (actual 112 yards)

5) Scott Chandler 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

6) Sammy Watkins 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

7) Kelvin Benjamin 68 receiving yards (actual 70)

8) Martellus Bennett 47 receiving yards (actual 45)

9) Jay Cutler 266 passing yards (actual 272)

10) Brandon Marshall would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 64 yards above average)

11) Alshon Jeffery 67 receiving yards (actual 63)

12) Brian Hoyer would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 55 yards below average)

13) Dez Bryant 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

14) DeMarco Murray would rush for 100+ yards (actual 100)

15) Peyton Manning would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 340)

16) Demaryius Thomas 106 receiving yards (actual 108)

17) Matthew Stafford 277 passing yards (actual 280)

18) Joique Bell 49 rushing yards (actual 44)

19) Aaron Rodgers would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 54 yards above average)

20) Jordy Nelson 6.3 receptions (actual = 6)

21) Randall Cobb 11.9 fantasy points (actual 11.2)

22) Allen Robinson 61 receiving yards (actual 60)

23) Charles Clay 41 receiving yards (actual 45)

24) Drew Brees 309 passing yards (actual 292)

25) Ben Watson 12 receiving yards (actual 13)

26) Kenny Stills 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

27) Brandin Cooks 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

28) Rueben Randle 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

29) Darren McFadden 23 receiving yards (actual 22)

30) Markus Wheaton 4.4 fantasy points (actual 4.1)

31) Marshawn Lynch 23 receiving yards (actual 23)

32) Stevie Johnson 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

33) Michael Crabtree 57 receiving yards (actual 62)

34) Nate Washington 2.9 fantasy points (actual 3.0)

35) Kendall Wright 57 receiving yards (actual 53)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 10 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 280 2.0 286 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 214 1.5 251 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 234 0.6 224 1.4 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 10 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 88 1.0 106 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 74 0.6 80 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.2 39 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 10 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 101 0.9 91 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 62 0.4 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 36 0.1 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w11