Trader's Alley: Buy Low, Sell High

Pros and Cons to Consider Before Closing the Deal

EDITOR'S NOTE: We don't normally publish Trader's Alley with only two weeks in the books, due to people's propensity to overreact to the small sample size and our strength of schedule data requiring 3 weeks of football. But I've had so many people asking for the article this season, I decided to go ahead and roll with it on limited data. Please keep this in mind when evaluating trades this week and try not to overreact to a single week's games. Don't place too much importance on the strength of schedule information until next week when we are able to roll out 2016 data.

This column is designed to quickly unearth some not so obvious things to help you... buy low and sell high.

Further, we suggest you only make a trade if you receive plenty of value in return and the deal results in an improved roster for your squad. In short, obtain players that will outperform their current perceived value while trading overrated talent. Do that and you'll be on your way to improving your roster. The perfect trade!

Owners considering trades should also consult our Rest-of-Season Rankings and Player Trade Evaluator.


FANTASY TIP: Before proceeding any further, see if your league has an IR roster spot. If so, drop your kicker, defense or an expendable player and grab either Steelers TE Ladarius Green or Patriots RB Dion Lewis and stash them in your IR spot. Then re-add your kicker, defense, etc. Lewis and Green could be available as early as Week 7, and if you have an IR spot, filling it costs you nothing.

Trade for Allen Robinson

Why trade for him now?
1) Because of his slow start, may be undervalued now.
2) Demonstrated clear WR1 upside last season.
3) Has a couple of soft matchups (BAL & IND) before the BYE, so this may be the last great buying opportunity.

Possible trade bait to land him:
Adrian Peterson
Larry Fitzgerald
Devonta Freeman

Mark Ingram

Why trade for him now?
1) Because of his slow start, may be undervalued now.
2) No real competition for workload in New Orleans.
3) Touchdowns are coming.

Possible trade bait to land him:
Adrian Peterson
Demaryius Thomas
Willie Snead

Trade away Isaiah Crowell

Why trade him away now?
1) Due to a long run and a hot start, Crowell is currently a top 10 RB and is likely overvalued.
2) RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.
3) With Josh McCown out indefinitely, Cody Kessler and Charlie Whitehurst make up Cleveland's QB depth chart.
4) Do you really want to own a Browns running back?

Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:
Travis Benjamin
Thomas Rawls
Delanie Walker

Trade away Adrian Peterson

Why trade him away now?
1) History shows older players wear down more during the season.
2) Wasn't running well before the injury, and timetable is unknown. Would consider selling if you can still get decent money on the dollar based on name recognition.

Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:
Tevin Coleman
Thomas Rawls
Jarvis Landry

Trade away Martellus Bennett

Why trade him away now?
1) Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
2) Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
3) Gronk's return is coming.

Possible reach target players to land in trading him away:
Tyler Lockett
Tom Brady
Michael Floyd

Trade Pros and Cons: Full Breakdown

Jay Ajayi

Schedule gets much easier.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Dwayne Allen

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Danny Amendola

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

C.J. Anderson

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Doug Baldwin

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Schedule gets much harder.

Gary Barnidge

Schedule gets much harder.

Odell Beckham

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

LeVeon Bell

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Travis Benjamin

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Martellus Bennett

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Giovani Bernard

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Tom Brady

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Drew Brees

Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Antonio Brown

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Jaron Brown

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Derek Carr

Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Jamaal Charles

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Corey Coleman

Has a soft game this week.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Schedule gets much harder.

Tevin Coleman

Has a soft game this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Brandin Cooks

Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Isaiah Crowell

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
Schedule gets much harder.

Andy Dalton

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Eric Decker

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Josh Doctson

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Phillip Dorsett

Young, learning with huge upside talent.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Julian Edelman

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Ezekiel Elliott

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Larry Fitzgerald

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Schedule gets much easier.

Coby Fleener

Schedule gets much harder.

Matt Forte

Schedule gets much easier.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Arian Foster

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Schedule gets much easier.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Devonta Freeman

Has a soft game this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Will Fuller

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Antonio Gates

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Marquise Goodwin

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Josh Gordon

Has a soft game this week.
Schedule gets much harder.

Frank Gore

Has a soft game this week.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Jimmy Graham

Schedule gets much harder.

A.J. Green

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Rob Gronkowski

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Jeremy Hill

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

T.Y. Hilton

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Carlos Hyde

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Mark Ingram

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a soft game this week.
Schedule gets much harder.
Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Alshon Jeffery

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Julio Jones

Has a soft game this week.

Travis Kelce

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Eddie Lacy

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Jarvis Landry

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Tyler Lockett

Schedule gets much harder.

Andrew Luck

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Eli Manning

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Marcus Mariota

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Brandon Marshall

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Doug Martin

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Ryan Mathews

Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Jordan Matthews

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Has a soft game this week.
Schedule gets much harder.

LeSean McCoy

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Vance McDonald

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Jerick McKinnon

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Christine Michael

Has a soft game this week.
Schedule gets much harder.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Latavius Murray

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Cam Newton

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Carson Palmer

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

DeVante Parker

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Breshad Perriman

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Adrian Peterson

History shows older players wear down more during the season.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Dennis Pitta

Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Thomas Rawls

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a soft game this week.
Schedule gets much harder.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Jordan Reed

Has a soft game this week.

Theo Riddick

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Philip Rivers

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Aaron Rodgers

Has a soft game this week.

Ben Roethlisberger

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Kyle Rudolph

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Matt Ryan

Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Greg Salas

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Emmanuel Sanders

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Sterling Shepard

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Charles Sims

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Willie Snead

Schedule gets much harder.
Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Jonathan Stewart

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Jacob Tamme

Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Ryan Tannehill

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.

Tyrod Taylor

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Demaryius Thomas

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Julius Thomas

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.

Laquon Treadwell

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Clive Walford

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Delanie Walker

Has a soft game this week.

Mike Wallace

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.

Spencer Ware

Faces a very difficult opponent this week.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Dwayne Washington

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.
RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team.

Sammy Watkins

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16.

Carson Wentz

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Kevin White

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

DeAngelo Williams

Schedule gets much easier.
Has a soft game this week.
Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued.
History shows older players wear down more during the season.

Russell Wilson

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.
Schedule gets much harder.

Jameis Winston

Young, learning with huge upside talent.

Jason Witten

History shows older players wear down more during the season.

T.J. Yeldon

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now.

Segmenting Players by Category

Due to excellent showing last week, may be overvalued:
Tyrod Taylor
Philip Rivers
Derek Carr
Matt Ryan
Vance McDonald
Clive Walford
Jacob Tamme
Kyle Rudolph
Dennis Pitta
Martellus Bennett
DeAngelo Williams
Isaiah Crowell
Jaron Brown
Greg Salas
Marquise Goodwin
Danny Amendola
Corey Coleman
Mike Wallace
Travis Benjamin

Because of last weeks modest effort, may be undervalued now:
Eli Manning
Russell Wilson
Andrew Luck
Dwayne Allen
T.J. Yeldon
Arian Foster
Charles Sims
Doug Martin
Thomas Rawls
Eddie Lacy
Carlos Hyde
Mark Ingram
Doug Baldwin
A.J. Green
Antonio Brown

Schedule gets much harder:
Russell Wilson
Drew Brees
Gary Barnidge
Jimmy Graham
Coby Fleener
Christine Michael
Isaiah Crowell
Thomas Rawls
Ryan Mathews
Mark Ingram
Josh Gordon
Corey Coleman
Tyler Lockett
Doug Baldwin
Willie Snead
Jordan Matthews
Brandin Cooks

Schedule gets much easier:
Ryan Tannehill
Ryan Fitzpatrick
Ben Roethlisberger
Jay Ajayi
DeAngelo Williams
Arian Foster
Jarvis Landry
Eric Decker
Brandon Marshall
Matt Forte
LeVeon Bell
Antonio Brown

RBBC factor - has another RB with talent on team:
Jay Ajayi
Jerick McKinnon
Dwayne Washington
Adrian Peterson
Christine Michael
Spencer Ware
Tevin Coleman
Arian Foster
Giovani Bernard
Jeremy Hill
Charles Sims
Doug Martin
Theo Riddick
Devonta Freeman
Thomas Rawls
Jamaal Charles

Has a nice schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16:
Philip Rivers
Eli Manning
Dwayne Allen
Travis Kelce
Dwayne Washington
Isaiah Crowell
Charles Sims
Doug Martin
Theo Riddick
Latavius Murray
Carlos Hyde
LeSean McCoy
Emmanuel Sanders
Mike Wallace
Sterling Shepard
Sammy Watkins
Demaryius Thomas
Jordan Matthews
Odell Beckham

Hard schedule during FF Playoff weeks 15 and 16:
Tom Brady
Cam Newton
Mark Ingram
C.J. Anderson

Faces a very difficult opponent this week:
Andy Dalton
Tom Brady
Drew Brees
Martellus Bennett
Travis Kelce
Julius Thomas
Rob Gronkowski
Spencer Ware
Jonathan Stewart
Jamaal Charles
Carlos Hyde
Ryan Mathews
LeSean McCoy
Phillip Dorsett
Julian Edelman
Willie Snead
T.Y. Hilton
Alshon Jeffery
Brandin Cooks
A.J. Green
Matt Forte

Has a soft game this week:
Ryan Tannehill
Derek Carr
Matt Ryan
Ben Roethlisberger
Aaron Rodgers
Jacob Tamme
Dennis Pitta
Delanie Walker
Jordan Reed
Christine Michael
Tevin Coleman
DeAngelo Williams
Frank Gore
Isaiah Crowell
Devonta Freeman
Thomas Rawls
Mark Ingram
Josh Gordon
Corey Coleman
Jarvis Landry
Eric Decker
Jordan Matthews
Brandon Marshall
LeVeon Bell
Julio Jones
Antonio Brown

History shows older players wear down more during the season:
Philip Rivers
Tom Brady
Eli Manning
Carson Palmer
Antonio Gates
Jason Witten
Dwayne Washington
Adrian Peterson
DeAngelo Williams
Frank Gore
Larry Fitzgerald

Young, learning with huge upside talent:
Jameis Winston
Marcus Mariota
Carson Wentz
Will Fuller
Sterling Shepard
Josh Doctson
Laquon Treadwell
Corey Coleman
Ezekiel Elliott
Kevin White
DeVante Parker
Phillip Dorsett
Breshad Perriman

Could be rested if team clinches a top playoff seed:

 

Filed Under: 2016, w3