Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Jordan Matthews 69 receiving yards (actual 71)

2) Russell Wilson 256 passing yards (actual 254)

3) Tyler Lockett 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

4) Demaryius Thomas 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.0)

5) C.J. Anderson would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 20 yards above average)

6) Jeremy Maclin 66 receiving yards (actual 68)

7) Travis Kelce 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

8) Duke Johnson 43 receiving yards (actual 44)

9) Kamar Aiken would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 63 yards below average)

10) Carson Palmer 24.0 fantasy points (actual 24.3)

11) Larry Fitzgerald 6.4 receptions (actual = 6)

12) Terrance Williams would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 56 yards below average)

13) Ryan Fitzpatrick 20.5 fantasy points (actual 21.1)

14) Eric Ebron 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

15) Julio Jones 108 receiving yards (actual 106)

16) Kyle Rudolph 29 receiving yards (actual 31)

17) Eli Manning would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 368)

18) Will Tye would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards below average)

19) Chris Hogan 6.1 fantasy points (actual 5.9)

20) Brandin Cooks 72 receiving yards (actual 68)

21) Willie Snead 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

22) Allen Hurns 61 receiving yards (actual 64)

23) Lamar Miller would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 29 yards above average)

24) Cam Newton 29.3 fantasy points (actual 29.8)

25) Corey Brown 16 receiving yards (actual 15)

26) Philip Rivers 23.4 fantasy points (actual 23.8)

27) Michael Crabtree 9.2 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

28) James Starks would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 2 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 300 2.1 311 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 287 1.3 275 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 277 1.7 246 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 2 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 116 0.5 106 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 60 0.4 70 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 2 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 75 0.3 87 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 68 0.4 67 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 48 0.3 49 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w3