Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 76 yards below average)

2) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 350)

3) Philip Rivers 279 passing yards (actual 269)

4) Carson Palmer 20.1 fantasy points (actual 20.2)

5) Matt Ryan 28.3 fantasy points (actual 29.4)

6) Martellus Bennett 34 receiving yards (actual 33)

7) Anquan Boldin 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

8) Ted Ginn 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

9) Vernon Davis 4.9 fantasy points (actual 4.9)

10) Antonio Gates 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

11) Ryan Fitzpatrick 17.2 fantasy points (actual 16.4)

12) Matthew Stafford would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 347)

13) LeSean McCoy would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 84 yards below average)

14) Michael Crabtree 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

15) Mike Wallace would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

16) Sam Bradford 258 passing yards (actual 250)

17) Golden Tate 82 receiving yards (actual 77)

18) Brandon LaFell 63 receiving yards (actual 67)

19) LeGarrette Blount projected rushing TDs 1.0 (actual 1)

20) Jimmy Graham 58 receiving yards (actual 64)

21) Julio Jones 92 receiving yards (actual 96)

22) Cam Newton 244 passing yards (actual 237)

23) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

24) Kirk Cousins 280 passing yards (actual 287)

25) Russell Wilson 265 passing yards (actual 258)

26) T.Y. Hilton 91 receiving yards (actual 95)

27) Marvin Jones 7.4 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

28) Coby Fleener 39 receiving yards (actual 38)

29) Jermaine Kearse 41 receiving yards (actual 45)

30) Cobi Hamilton would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards above average)

31) Odell Beckham would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

32) Trey Burton 4.1 fantasy points (actual 3.9)

33) Willie Snead 8.2 fantasy points (actual 8.2)

34) Amari Cooper 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

35) DeVante Parker 49 receiving yards (actual 45)

36) J.J. Nelson 7.8 fantasy points (actual 7.5)

37) Trevor Siemian 13.8 fantasy points (actual 13.7)

38) Tyrell Williams 70 receiving yards (actual 70)

39) Cameron Meredith 63 receiving yards (actual 61)

40) Carson Wentz 19.3 fantasy points (actual 19.1)

41) Dak Prescott would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 37)

42) Ezekiel Elliott would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 109 yards below average)

43) Jordan Howard 12.8 fantasy points (actual 13.5)

44) Eli Rogers 64 receiving yards (actual 61)

45) Robby Anderson 42 receiving yards (actual 43)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 17 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 302 2.0 282 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 265 2.5 261 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 156 0.8 213 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 17 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 44 0.0 112 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 82 0.6 79 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 17 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 73 0.4 76 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 58 0.3 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 51 0.2 45 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w18

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