Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) John Brown 64 receiving yards (actual 62)

3) Matt Ryan 22.4 fantasy points (actual 21.1)

4) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 164)

5) Leonard Hankerson 4.6 fantasy points (actual 4.5)

6) Devonta Freeman would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 120 yards above average)

7) Joe Flacco 20.7 fantasy points (actual 20.5)

8) Marlon Brown 2.8 fantasy points (actual 2.9)

9) Crockett Gillmore 41 receiving yards (actual 40)

10) Matt Forte 82 rushing yards (actual 74)

11) A.J. Green would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 173 yards above average)

12) Giovani Bernard 36 receiving yards (actual 34)

13) Travis Benjamin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 57 yards below average)

14) Taylor Gabriel would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 20 yards above average)

15) Cole Beasley 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

16) Peyton Manning would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 109 yards above average)

17) Jordan Norwood 26 receiving yards (actual 27)

18) Demaryius Thomas 12.8 fantasy points (actual 13.2)

19) Emmanuel Sanders 86 receiving yards (actual 87)

20) Ronnie Hillman 7.5 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

21) Matthew Stafford 274 passing yards (actual 282)

22) Golden Tate 63 receiving yards (actual 57)

23) Eric Ebron 6.3 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

24) Aaron Rodgers would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 114 yards above average)

25) Randall Cobb 92 receiving yards (actual 91)

26) Nate Washington would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

27) Ryan Mallett would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 57 yards above average)

28) Cecil Shorts 5.9 fantasy points (actual 5.8)

29) Frank Gore would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 42 yards above average)

30) T.Y. Hilton 82 receiving yards (actual 94)

31) Donte Moncrief 8.8 fantasy points (actual 9.2)

32) Blake Bortles 254 passing yards (actual 242)

33) Jamaal Charles 34 receiving yards (actual 33)

34) Travis Kelce 85 receiving yards (actual 80)

35) Jordan Cameron would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards below average)

36) Ryan Tannehill projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

37) Jarvis Landry 7.9 receptions (actual = 8)

38) Jarius Wright 27 receiving yards (actual 28)

39) Tom Brady would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 358)

40) Julian Edelman 84 receiving yards (actual 85)

41) Scott Chandler 24 receiving yards (actual 25)

42) Dion Lewis 37 rushing yards (actual 37)

43) Marques Colston 43 receiving yards (actual 47)

44) Brandin Cooks 7.8 fantasy points (actual 7.9)

45) Eli Manning 270 passing yards (actual 279)

46) Rashad Jennings 61 total yards (actual 57 yards)

47) Rueben Randle would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 102 yards above average)

48) Larry Donnell 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

49) Latavius Murray would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 85 yards above average)

50) Derek Carr 20.3 fantasy points (actual 20.5)

51) Jordan Matthews would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

52) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 168 yards below average)

53) Darrius Heyward-Bey would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 49 yards below average)

54) Antonio Brown 106 receiving yards (actual 108)

55) Philip Rivers would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 77 yards below average)

56) Malcom Floyd 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.3)

57) Jimmy Graham would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards above average)

58) Carlos Hyde would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 55 yards below average)

59) Jared Cook would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

60) Tavon Austin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards above average)

61) Harry Douglas 21 receiving yards (actual 20)

62) Anthony Fasano 2.7 fantasy points (actual 2.6)

63) Pierre Garcon 64 receiving yards (actual 64)

64) Jordan Reed 5.9 receptions (actual = 6)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 3 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 304 2.1 293 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 261 1.5 247 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 261 0.8 236 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 3 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 91 1.5 87 0.9 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 62 0.4 71 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 46 0.4 47 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 3 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 112 1.0 95 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 78 0.5 66 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 40 0.1 38 0.1 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w4