Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer 23.7 fantasy points (actual 24.6)

2) Larry Fitzgerald 87 receiving yards (actual 90)

3) Matt Ryan 287 passing yards (actual 280)

4) Julio Jones 16.3 fantasy points (actual 16.0)

5) Robert Woods 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Jonathan Stewart 97 rushing yards (actual 102)

7) Greg Olsen 11.3 fantasy points (actual 11.4)

8) Cam Newton 236 passing yards (actual 246)

9) Marquess Wilson 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

10) Andy Dalton 21.8 fantasy points (actual 22.0)

11) Marvin Jones 58 receiving yards (actual 60)

12) Jeremy Hill 46 rushing yards (actual 45)

13) Demaryius Thomas 11.4 fantasy points (actual 11.9)

14) Matthew Stafford 275 passing yards (actual 282)

15) Frank Gore 84 total yards (actual 80 yards)

16) Coby Fleener 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

17) Bryan Walters 34 receiving yards (actual 35)

18) Allen Robinson 12.0 fantasy points (actual 11.3)

19) T.J. Yeldon 82 total yards (actual 82 yards)

20) Alex Smith 245 passing yards (actual 253)

21) Travis Kelce 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

22) Jarvis Landry 63 receiving yards (actual 66)

23) Danny Amendola would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 72 yards above average)

24) Brandon Marshall 10.9 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

25) Michael Crabtree 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

26) DeMarco Murray 67 rushing yards (actual 64)

27) Philip Rivers would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 159 yards below average)

28) Pierre Garcon 47 receiving yards (actual 43)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 11 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 253 1.8 291 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 267 1.5 259 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 251 1.6 229 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 11 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 79 0.3 103 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 93 0.5 88 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 43 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 11 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 82 0.5 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 47 0.2 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 38 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w12