Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Devin Hester would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 38 yards below average)

2) Roddy White 70 receiving yards (actual 66)

3) Robert Woods 47 receiving yards (actual 50)

4) Alshon Jeffery 5.4 receptions (actual = 5)

5) Jermaine Gresham 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Andy Dalton 19.9 fantasy points (actual 20.0)

7) Mohamed Sanu 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

8) Jordan Cameron 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

9) Taylor Gabriel 5.7 fantasy points (actual 6.0)

10) DeMarco Murray 19.7 fantasy points (actual 20.1)

11) Demaryius Thomas 100 receiving yards (actual 105)

12) Matthew Stafford projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

13) Aaron Rodgers 26.3 fantasy points (actual 24.8)

14) Andrew Quarless 20 receiving yards (actual 19)

15) Eddie Lacy 61 rushing yards (actual 59)

16) Davante Adams 7.1 fantasy points (actual 7.5)

17) Ryan Fitzpatrick 234 passing yards (actual 227)

18) Arian Foster would rush for 100+ yards (actual 151)

19) Damaris Johnson 3.3 fantasy points (actual 3.3)

20) Ahmad Bradshaw 88 total yards (actual 87 yards)

21) Andrew Luck 26.6 fantasy points (actual 26.6)

22) Trent Richardson would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 51 yards below average)

23) T.Y. Hilton 6.4 receptions (actual = 6)

24) Dwayne Allen 7.9 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

25) Blake Bortles 230 passing yards (actual 221)

26) Allen Robinson 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

27) Dwayne Bowe 60 receiving yards (actual 64)

28) Alex Smith 239 passing yards (actual 226)

29) Travis Kelce 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

30) Mike Wallace 64 receiving yards (actual 59)

31) Lamar Miller 71 rushing yards (actual 78)

32) Tom Brady would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 110 yards above average)

33) Drew Brees 25.9 fantasy points (actual 25.0)

34) Kenny Stills 52 receiving yards (actual 57)

35) Percy Harvin 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

36) Jace Amaro 5.0 fantasy points (actual 5.1)

37) Darren McFadden 89 total yards (actual 85 yards)

38) James Jones 57 receiving yards (actual 62)

39) LeSean McCoy 98 total yards (actual 97 yards)

40) Nick Foles 23.0 fantasy points (actual 21.8)

41) Jordan Matthews 45 receiving yards (actual 47)

42) LeVeon Bell 15.2 fantasy points (actual 14.8)

43) Malcom Floyd 60 receiving yards (actual 58)

44) Antonio Gates 56 receiving yards (actual 54)

45) Doug Baldwin 66 receiving yards (actual 61)

46) Zac Stacy would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 31 yards below average)

47) Mike Evans 7.9 fantasy points (actual 7.8)

48) Delanie Walker 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

49) Kendall Wright 55 receiving yards (actual 53)

50) Niles Paul would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 28 yards below average)

51) Alfred Morris 77 rushing yards (actual 73)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 8 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 303 2.1 289 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 274 1.9 252 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 223 1.2 225 1.5 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 8 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 139 1.0 108 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 92 0.3 80 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 35 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 8 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 0.8 88 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 74 0.4 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 48 0.2 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w9