Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Larry Fitzgerald would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 66 yards below average)

2) Matt Ryan 273 passing yards (actual 273)

3) Steven Jackson 10.5 fantasy points (actual 11.1)

4) Joe Flacco 255 passing yards (actual 243)

5) Steve L Smith 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Scott Chandler 30 receiving yards (actual 28)

7) Taylor Gabriel would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

8) Tony Romo 282 passing yards (actual 275)

9) Dez Bryant 80 receiving yards (actual 86)

10) DeMarco Murray 119 rushing yards (actual 121)

11) Peyton Manning 26.5 fantasy points (actual 26.1)

12) Julius Thomas would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 43 yards below average)

13) Matthew Stafford 276 passing yards (actual 264)

14) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

15) Jamaal Charles 18.3 fantasy points (actual 18.2)

16) Alex Smith 18.3 fantasy points (actual 17.9)

17) Travis Kelce 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Brian Hartline 39 receiving yards (actual 39)

19) Mike Wallace 9.0 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

20) Lamar Miller 61 rushing yards (actual 59)

21) Jarvis Landry 50 receiving yards (actual 50)

22) Tom Brady projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

23) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 420)

24) Marques Colston 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

25) Jimmy Graham 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

26) Eric Decker 59 receiving yards (actual 63)

27) James Jones 50 receiving yards (actual 47)

28) Brice Butler 23 receiving yards (actual 21)

29) Riley Cooper 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

30) Malcom Floyd 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Eddie Royal 4.9 fantasy points (actual 5.0)

32) Keenan Allen 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

33) Vernon Davis 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

34) Michael Crabtree 58 receiving yards (actual 58)

35) Colin Kaepernick 243 passing yards (actual 256)

36) Lance Kendricks 17 receiving yards (actual 16)

37) Vincent Jackson 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.