Lamar Miller, RB Houston Texans

Most Recent News

Texans RB Lamar Miller primed for 'a season for the ages'

Wednesday, August 17, 2016, 6:31pm

Mike Freeman, Bleacher Report - [Full Article]

Mike Freeman of the Bleacher Report on the thought that Texans RB Lamar Miller might lead the league in rushing:

That's what one scout believes. He thinks the combination of a solid offensive line and the presence of a real quarterback will free up Miller to the point where he will be one of the top two runners in football.

I've heard this type of thing before about Miller (and written it). More than a few people in football think he is set for a huge season. Lead the league in rushing? That would be quite a leap, but it's not totally unbelievable. Miller always showed great bursts of talent when in Miami, but because the Dolphins gonna Dolphin, they completely underutilized him. The Texans won't, and I keep hearing from scouts that they think he might have a season for the ages. We'll see.

Fantasy Impact:

Miller finished #9 and #5 in the last two seasons in PPR formats, but was underutilized in Miami, which is one reason he signed with the Texans. Consider this: Miller only saw 18-plus carries in three of his 16 games in 2015, while Arian Foster carried the ball 18-plus times in 13 of his last 17 games with the Texans. Foster averaged 22.5 touches per game over that span, and if Miller can maintain the 0.920 FP/touch rate (PPR) from the last two years, he would average around 20.7 FP per game. Last year’s #1 PPR RB (Devonta Freeman) averaged 21.1 FP.

Scouting Report

Fantasy Upside
Lamar Miller is slotted to replace Arian Foster as Houston's workhorse tailback and he's not lacking in confidence. "The Texans are getting a home-run hitter, a guy who can make a play anywhere on the field and a guy who can protect the quarterback," Miller said. The Texans saw that home-run hitter in person last year, when Houston's D couldn't corral Miller in a Week 7 loss. The running back went off for 175 yards on 14 carries, including an 85-yard touchdown run. In addition, Miller, who piled up a combined total of 1,971 rushing yards at a healthy 4.8 yards per clip despite the lighter-than-hoped workload over the past two seasons, enters his fifth year with plenty of tread left on the tires. It's also worth noting this from Profootballfocus.com: Miller had the fifth-highest breakaway percentage (yards from runs over 15 yards) at 35.8 percent. He has also improved his receiving numbers in each of his first four seasons and racked up 397 yards and two touchdowns last season.

Fantasy Downside
The biggest question for Miller is whether he can handle a heavy workload.

2016 Bottom Line
Entering free agency, the soon-to-be 25-year-old tailback insisted he wanted a chance to be a 20 per game game runner. Multiple coaching staffs in Miami deemed Miller's frame too slight for that kind of role, but he'll get every opportunity in Houston to prove those coaches wrong. If he does, Miller will certainly produce at a top-10 level.

2016 Strength of Schedule - HOU
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
19
CHI
3
KC
9
@NE
11
TEN
5
@MIN
25
IND
18
@DEN
17
DET
BYE24
@JAX
12
@OAK
29
SD
10
@GB
25
@IND
24
JAX
16
CIN
11
@TEN

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2015 Game Stats
WeekOppRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPRRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPCSnaps%
1WAS1353004.081220122.0046/5780.70%
2JAX1014001.40528065.6039/6857.35%
3BUF738005.43327039.0045/7857.69%
4NYJ726003.711100210.0051/6479.69%
5BYE------------
6TEN19113105.9525032.5047/6770.15%
7HOU141751012.503611320.3324/6338.10%
8NE915101.67519053.8035/6355.56%
9BUF1244203.677970713.8656/6981.16%
10PHI1643002.69650188.3355/6782.09%
11DAL744006.29211035.5032/4866.67%
12NYJ52000.40311043.6723/7231.94%
13BAL20113015.6515025.0032/4866.67%
14NYG1289207.420000-39/6758.21%
15SD912001.33212026.0018/5731.58%
16IND1531102.07536067.2051/7270.83%
17NE1960003.1613023.0039/7552.00%
Per game12.1354.500.500.064.492.9424.810.133.568.4539.50/64.6961.27%
Totals194872814.49473972578.45632/103561.27%

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