Nothing can be finalized until next week, but if the trade does indeed go through, it's a blockbuster. This looks like a system downgrade for McCoy, who ran much better later in the season once his offensive line started to get healthy. In Buffalo, new HC Rex Ryan and new OC Greg Roman (formerly of San Francisco) both have a history of running ball control, run-first teams, but the Bills have serious quarterback issues. Free agent C.J. Spiller isn't likely to re-sign and the acquisition of McCoy has to be a downgrade for Fred Jackson. As for McCoy, he's still a fantasy RB1, though he carries more risk since the Buffalo offense could struggle to score points. Given the way the Eagles like to run the ball, whoever emerges as the starter in Philadelphia will carry early round value.
After finishing in the top 20 for three straight seasons in PPR points per game (including #6 in 2013), Bush was #32 in that category last season. His departure should solidify Joique Bell's workload and give Theo Riddick the opportunity to shine as the team's primary passing down back. Bell finished #14 in standard formats and #13 in PPR, so he should continue to produce high-end RB2 numbers provided he stays healthy and the Lions don't make any major moves at running back. As for Riddick, he averaged 13.2 fantasy points (in PPR formats) in the five games that Bush missed last season. That's about what Fred Jackson averaged as the #17 running back in 2014.
Friday, December 19, 2014, 6:02pm
Bills RB C.J. Spiller (shoulder, probable) took limited practice reps all week and is probable for Week 16. Spiller should serve as Fred Jackson’s primary backup, but don’t expect a huge workload. Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon have combined for 12.0 touches in the last four games, so that would seem to be Spiller’s ceiling in his first game back from injury.
He was practicing with his teammates on Wednesday, much as he had for each of the past two weeks. The only difference now is he’s been medically cleared for contact. C.J. Spiller has not yet been added to the 53-man roster from his I-R Designated to return status, but it’s anticipated that will take place later in the week.
Bills head coach Doug Marrone liked the way Spiller performed in practice Wednesday.
“I’m not going to sit up here and see he didn’t look good. He looked good, but he’s still working his way back into the football part of it,” Marrone said.
The Bills are still alive in the playoff hunt, but they'll need some help to make the postseason. If Spiller does play, he probably won't have a big role in his first game back, though he could take over most of the touches that Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown have been getting in the last few weeks. They have combined for 12.0 touches in the last four weeks, so we would expect that would be Spiller's ceiling with Fred Jackson continue to carry the load as the team's primary back.
Marrone did not commit to having Spiller, who has been on injured reserve with a designation to return, play in Sunday's game at the Oakland Raiders.
"I'd like to see more participation before we make that decision," he said.
Spiller returned to practice on Dec. 3 after missing six weeks with a broken collarbone. The Bills had until Dec. 24 to decide whether to place him on their 53-man roster. If Spiller plays, it would likely mean Bryce Brown loses playing time and the Bills ride with Spiller, Fred Jackson and Anthony Dixon.
Spiller’s participation today begins a 21-day practice window in which he can work with coaches and teammates and not count toward the active roster. He cannot be activated until Dec. 16th, the Tuesday after the Packers game, and would be eligible to play in games at that time. A roster move would also need to be made at that time to add Spiller to the 53-man roster.
Fred Jackson owners shouldn't worry too much about Spiller's potential return. Everything has to go right for Spiller to return in Week 16, and even then, he's likely to be limited in his first game back. Jackson is the RB1 in Buffalo for all intents and purposes.
Fred Jackson will play in Week 12. He was questionable all week with a groin injury so it's possible he's limited against the Jets, who rank sixth in allowing fantasy points to RBs. Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown will likely factor in the game plan, but with the workload in question and a tough matchup, no one is really considered a safe play in this situation.
(New York conducted a walk-through on Saturday)
T Oday Aboushi (shoulder), LB Antwan Barnes (knee), G Willie Colon (knee), WR T.J. Graham (neck), LB David Harris (shoulder), RB Chris Ivory (shoulder), S Jaiquawn Jarrett (calf), RB Chris Johnson (knee), C Nick Mangold (shoulder), LB Trevor Reilly (knee), WR Greg Salas (wrist), QB Geno Smith (right shoulder), CB Darrin Walls (calf)
DE Jarius Wynn (knee)
CB Ron Brooks (groin), RB Fred Jackson (groin)
K Dan Carpenter (right groin), WR Marquise Goodwin (ankle), WR Chris Hogan (hip), DE Manny Lawson (ankle), QB Kyle Orton (toe), RB Frank Summers (neck), G Kraig Urbik (shoulder), WR Sammy Watkins (groin)
Bills RB Fred Jackson is questionable. He's indicated he's going to play, but with the game now Monday night he becomes a bit more risky. It's not a great matchup against the Jets rush defense, but either way owners will need to be prepared just in case Jackson doesn't go. Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown would at least be serviceable backups if needed. Also for the Bills, Watkins and Orton are probable.
Friday, November 21, 2014, 6:26pm
Bills RB Fred Jackson (groin) was removed from the injury report Friday after taking limited practice reps Thursday. Jackson is expected to play against the Jets on Monday evening. We should get an update on Saturday.
Thursday, November 20, 2014, 5:58pm
Bills RB Fred Jackson (groin) took limited practice reps again Thursday. Jackson’s status is an estimate since the Bills couldn’t hold practice due to The Snowpocalypse. He’s on track to return in a tough matchup against the Jets.
Wednesday, November 19, 2014, 6:11pm
Bills RB Fred Jackson (groin) took limited practice reps Wednesday. Jackson’s status is an estimate since the Bills couldn’t hold practice due to The Snowpocalypse. He’s on track to return in a tough matchup against the Jets.
Bills head coach Doug Marrone said last week that if their Week 11 game was on Sunday instead of Thursday night, he felt Fred Jackson would’ve been able to play in the game. on Thursday night however, he was scratched after tweaking his injured groin in practice Tuesday. Now Jackson fully anticipates being ready to go this coming Sunday against the Jets.
In his weekly appearance on Bills flagship station WGR Sportsradio 550, Jackson said he’s planning on being ready by the end of the week.
“Yeah. We’ll work myself into the process of getting back out there,” said Jackson. “I know with our training staff and doctors they’ll take every precaution we need to, but like coach Marrone said, if the game was yesterday there’s probably a pretty good chance that I would’ve played. So I’m planning on playing this Sunday and it’s just on me to go out there and take this week slowly and get back out there.”
It sounds like the turnaround from Week 10 to a short Week 11 wasn't enough time for Jackson to play. But the extra time off should have him ready for Week 12. It's a bit of a tough matchup against the Jets and a pretty good run defense, but owners hope Jackson is able to carry more of a workload. Anthony Dixon will likely continue to get his share of snaps though.
Fred Jackson is inactive as expected. Multiple reports say that Bryce Brown is starting at RB for the Bills, which is encouraging news for those owners depending on him this week. In the last two weeks, Anthony Dixon has out-carried him 31 to 14, but the ratio was 9:7 in Week 10 and Brown caught six passes against the Chiefs, out-touching Dixon 13 to 9. Brown looked explosive and particularly good in the passing game, so he’s a low-end RB2 in standard and a solid RB2 in PPR formats.
With Goodwin out, Mike Williams returns to the active roster.
One wonders why the Bills let Fred Jackson play in Week 10 with a pair of capable running backs in Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown and a short week in Week 11. Regardless, it looks like Dixon and Brown will split the load against the Dolphins tonight. It's not a great matchup, but it's not a terrible matchup, either. We'll update our rankings shortly.