Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 85 yards below average)

2) Carson Palmer 21.8 fantasy points (actual 22.5)

3) Martellus Bennett 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

4) Matt Forte 76 rushing yards (actual 82)

5) Frank Gore 12.9 fantasy points (actual 12.2)

6) Larry Fitzgerald 81 receiving yards (actual 74)

7) Greg Olsen would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 91 yards below average)

8) Delanie Walker 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

9) Michael Crabtree 10.9 fantasy points (actual 10.8)

10) Demaryius Thomas 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

11) A.J. Green 12.1 fantasy points (actual 12.1)

12) Cam Newton 223 passing yards (actual 212)

13) Randall Cobb would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 65 yards below average)

14) Andy Dalton 270 passing yards (actual 284)

15) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

16) Lamar Miller 58 rushing yards (actual 56)

17) Coby Fleener 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Cole Beasley 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Jermaine Kearse 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Giovani Bernard 54 rushing yards (actual 52)

21) Spencer Ware 27 receiving yards (actual 28)

22) Terrance Williams would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

23) Cordarrelle Patterson 38 receiving yards (actual 36)

24) Latavius Murray 71 total yards (actual 71 yards)

25) Jeremy Hill 71 rushing yards (actual 76)

26) Brandin Cooks 10.7 fantasy points (actual 10.4)

27) Davante Adams 75 receiving yards (actual 74)

28) Jordan Matthews 64 receiving yards (actual 65)

29) Allen Robinson 66 receiving yards (actual 70)

30) C.J. Fiedorowicz 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

31) John Brown 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

32) Jameis Winston projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

33) Melvin Gordon 16.2 fantasy points (actual 15.5)

34) Stefon Diggs 74 receiving yards (actual 76)

35) Chris Conley 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

36) Ezekiel Elliott 106 rushing yards (actual 96)

37) Michael Thomas 64 receiving yards (actual 63)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 8 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 295 2.2 289 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 286 1.6 265 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 240 1.3 225 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 8 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 96 0.6 110 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 64 0.8 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.3 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 8 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 70 0.1 75 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 67 0.5 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 45 0.4 46 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w9