Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

2) Michael Floyd would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 28 yards above average)

3) Julio Jones 86 receiving yards (actual 92)

4) Devonta Freeman 129 total yards (actual 130 yards)

5) Joe Flacco 263 passing yards (actual 252)

6) Steve L Smith 80 receiving yards (actual 78)

7) Chris Hogan 5.6 fantasy points (actual 5.6)

8) Jason Witten 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

9) Calvin Johnson 86 receiving yards (actual 86)

10) Matthew Stafford 266 passing yards (actual 256)

11) Coby Fleener 4.8 fantasy points (actual 4.7)

12) Travis Kelce 69 receiving yards (actual 73)

13) DeAnthony Thomas 2.6 fantasy points (actual 2.5)

14) Lamar Miller would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 126 yards above average)

15) Adrian Peterson 94 rushing yards (actual 98)

16) Teddy Bridgewater 19.8 fantasy points (actual 18.7)

17) Tom Brady would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 355)

18) Ben Watson 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Larry Donnell 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Ryan Fitzpatrick 20.7 fantasy points (actual 20.7)

21) Michael Crabtree 66 receiving yards (actual 63)

22) Latavius Murray 88 total yards (actual 86 yards)

23) Amari Cooper 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

24) DeMarco Murray 59 rushing yards (actual 65)

25) Philip Rivers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 336)

26) Danny Woodhead 27 rushing yards (actual 26)

27) Keenan Allen 85 receiving yards (actual 89)

28) Russell Wilson 233 passing yards (actual 235)

29) Colin Kaepernick would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 124)

30) Kendall Wright 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Pierre Garcon 52 receiving yards (actual 55)

32) Jamison Crowder 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 7 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 289 2.0 294 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 250 1.5 260 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 247 1.6 231 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 7 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 133 0.8 110 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 111 0.7 83 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.2 45 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 7 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 76 0.5 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 66 0.5 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.2 39 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w8