Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Tyrod Taylor 234 passing yards (actual 235)

2) Robert Woods 48 receiving yards (actual 44)

3) Russell Wilson 27.9 fantasy points (actual 26.6)

4) Tyler Lockett 58 receiving yards (actual 55)

5) Ronnie Hillman 48 rushing yards (actual 48)

6) Jeremy Butler 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

7) Michael Floyd 69 receiving yards (actual 70)

8) John Brown 10.0 fantasy points (actual 9.8)

9) Doug Martin 89 rushing yards (actual 91)

10) Jameis Winston 19.2 fantasy points (actual 19.0)

11) Darren McFadden 11.1 fantasy points (actual 11.3)

12) Matt Ryan 255 passing yards (actual 246)

13) Roddy White 4.9 fantasy points (actual 4.7)

14) Devonta Freeman 15.5 fantasy points (actual 16.1)

15) Mike Wallace 38 receiving yards (actual 37)

16) Jarius Wright 30 receiving yards (actual 32)

17) Teddy Bridgewater 223 passing yards (actual 231)

18) Rueben Randle 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Odell Beckham 12.9 fantasy points (actual 13.6)

20) Rob Gronkowski 5.4 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Drew Brees 25.6 fantasy points (actual 26.7)

22) Marques Colston 43 receiving yards (actual 39)

23) Blake Bortles 24.8 fantasy points (actual 24.3)

24) Allen Robinson 12.3 fantasy points (actual 11.7)

25) DeAndre Hopkins 94 receiving yards (actual 94)

26) Jerricho Cotchery 4.5 fantasy points (actual 4.7)

27) Greg Olsen 83 receiving yards (actual 79)

28) Devin Funchess 28 receiving yards (actual 30)

29) Michael Crabtree 66 receiving yards (actual 70)

30) Mychal Rivera 20 receiving yards (actual 20)

31) Latavius Murray 74 rushing yards (actual 78)

32) Derek Carr 268 passing yards (actual 276)

33) James Starks 59 total yards (actual 56 yards)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 15 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 305 2.5 288 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 250 2.0 260 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 218 1.6 228 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 15 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 97 1.0 101 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 62 0.3 83 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 15 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 75 0.9 85 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 74 0.7 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 50 0.4 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w16