Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer 305 passing yards (actual 310)

2) John Brown 72 receiving yards (actual 78)

3) Matt Ryan would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 66 yards below average)

4) Jacob Tamme 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

5) Julio Jones 89 receiving yards (actual 88)

6) Kamar Aiken 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

7) LeSean McCoy 33 receiving yards (actual 35)

8) Tyrod Taylor would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 51 yards above average)

9) Cam Newton 258 passing yards (actual 265)

10) Marvin Jones 57 receiving yards (actual 61)

11) Giovani Bernard 42 rushing yards (actual 40)

12) Gary Barnidge 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

13) Travis Benjamin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

14) Jason Witten 42 receiving yards (actual 40)

15) Terrance Williams 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

16) Golden Tate 64 receiving yards (actual 60)

17) James Jones 48 receiving yards (actual 49)

18) Randall Cobb 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.0)

19) Richard Rodgers 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.3)

20) Frank Gore 63 rushing yards (actual 60)

21) Blake Bortles 24.7 fantasy points (actual 25.7)

22) Jeremy Maclin 68 receiving yards (actual 68)

23) Teddy Bridgewater projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

24) Tom Brady projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

25) Danny Amendola 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

26) Drew Brees 306 passing yards (actual 312)

27) Marques Colston 38 receiving yards (actual 36)

28) Ben Watson 7.3 fantasy points (actual 7.0)

29) Odell Beckham would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 166)

30) Ryan Fitzpatrick 23.6 fantasy points (actual 24.8)

31) Eric Decker 78 receiving yards (actual 74)

32) Philip Rivers 258 passing yards (actual 263)

33) Malcom Floyd 52 receiving yards (actual 56)

34) Melvin Gordon 63 total yards (actual 63 yards)

35) Doug Martin 15.5 fantasy points (actual 14.6)

36) Harry Douglas 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

37) Delanie Walker 76 receiving yards (actual 71)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 14 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 261 2.1 287 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 274 0.7 261 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 225 0.7 229 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 14 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 90 0.7 101 0.5 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 75 0.4 85 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.3 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 14 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 76 0.6 85 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 58 0.4 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 48 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w15