Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 356)

2) Larry Fitzgerald 7.9 receptions (actual = 8)

3) Roddy White 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

4) Julio Jones 8.1 receptions (actual = 8)

5) Devonta Freeman 109 total yards (actual 103 yards)

6) LeSean McCoy 120 total yards (actual 112 yards)

7) Charles Clay 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

8) Tyrod Taylor 215 passing yards (actual 211)

9) Jerricho Cotchery 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Cam Newton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 107 yards above average)

11) Devin Funchess 7.4 fantasy points (actual 7.3)

12) Andy Dalton 23.7 fantasy points (actual 23.9)

13) Marvin Jones 59 receiving yards (actual 55)

14) Gary Barnidge 63 receiving yards (actual 59)

15) Isaiah Crowell 6.4 fantasy points (actual 6.4)

16) Jason Witten 42 receiving yards (actual 45)

17) Demaryius Thomas 6.0 receptions (actual = 6)

18) Golden Tate 61 receiving yards (actual 63)

19) James Starks 6.3 fantasy points (actual 6.0)

20) DeAndre Hopkins 90 receiving yards (actual 88)

21) Coby Fleener 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

22) Alex Smith 22.5 fantasy points (actual 22.8)

23) Mike Wallace 4.1 fantasy points (actual 4.3)

24) Kyle Rudolph 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

25) Jarius Wright 25 receiving yards (actual 24)

26) Danny Amendola 62 receiving yards (actual 62)

27) Scott Chandler would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards above average)

28) Drew Brees 22.0 fantasy points (actual 22.5)

29) Ben Watson 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

30) Mark Ingram 58 rushing yards (actual 56)

31) Eli Manning 297 passing yards (actual 297)

32) Odell Beckham would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 149)

33) Michael Crabtree 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

34) Derek Carr 285 passing yards (actual 283)

35) Antonio Brown 112 receiving yards (actual 118)

36) Markus Wheaton 48 receiving yards (actual 50)

37) Melvin Gordon 55 rushing yards (actual 55)

38) Doug Baldwin 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

39) Anquan Boldin 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

40) Wes Welker 15 receiving yards (actual 15)

41) Doug Martin 13.8 fantasy points (actual 14.0)

42) Mike Evans 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

43) Jameis Winston 237 passing yards (actual 227)

44) Antonio Andrews 54 rushing yards (actual 58)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 13 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 290 2.5 290 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 254 2.3 260 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 207 0.9 230 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 13 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 101 0.0 102 0.5 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 85 0.6 86 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 13 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 105 0.9 86 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 56 0.5 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 39 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w14