Nick Foles, QB St. Louis Rams

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Rapoport: Nick Foles seems like a 'great' fit with Rams

Wednesday, August 12, 2015, 11:02pm

NFL.com - [Full Article]

The blockbuster trade happened months ago, but it's still jarring to see Nick Foles, instead of Sam Bradford, under center in St. Louis. The reality is, armed with a new extension, the fit seems like a great one. After a few shaky weeks facing Gregg Williams' defense in practice (he doesn't hold back), Foles has reached a comfort level. Thanks in part to a newly stocked quarterback room featuring offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti and QB coach Chris Weinke, Foles has returned to his West Coast Offense roots. It's the mental part that's key, being asked to do a lot with protections and getting the team in and out of the right plays. But he's put in the work, and the players have already taken to him.

Fantasy Impact:

Foles’ second season as the starter in Philadelphia didn’t go as well as his first. After a ridiculous 27-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013, Foles tossed 13 touchdowns against 10 picks last year. It wasn’t all his fault, however, as he was playing behind a patchwork offensive line and didn’t seem as comfortable in the pocket. In the seven games that he finished in 2014, he averaged 16.9 fantasy points, which is about what Philip Rivers scored as the #12 QB on the season. Foles ultimately broke his collarbone in Week 9 and missed the final eight games of the season. Now he joins a run-oriented Rams’ offense that is somewhat lacking in talent at receiver. He should be a serviceable/streaming QB2.

Scouting Report

Fantasy Upside
Nick Foles enjoyed great fantasy success in 2013 when he threw 27 touchdowns to just two interceptions while leading the Eagles to the playoffs. But he never seemed to be Chip Kelly's guy and following an injury-ravaged 2014, Foles received a new lease on life when St. Louis acquired him from Philadelphia back in March. Foles has already drawn praise for his leadership abilities and reportedly has developed a report with defacto No. 1 receiver Kenny Britt. In theory, Todd Gurley, Tre Mason and the Rams' running game will force defenses to load the box, which will open up the play-action pass for Foles. There's also some hope that new offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti will figure out what Brian Schottenheimer couldn't: How to turn former top-10 pick Tavon Austin into a weapon in the passing game.

Fantasy Downside
The Rams will likely start rookies Rob Havenstein and Jamon Brown along their offensive line and their projected starting center, Barrett Jones, has yet to start a game in the NFL. If Rodger Saffold continues to have durability issues and/or second-year left tackle Greg Robinson doesn't take a significant step in his development, Foles could be buried behind a shaky offensive line. There are also plenty of questions at receiver, as Britt has never topped 800 yards in any season, Austin has been nothing more than a gadget player early in his career, Brian Quick is rehabbing from a nasty arm/shoulder injury, and Jared Cook has never developed into the mismatch at tight end that the Rams hoped he'd be when they handed him $19 million guaranteed in 2013. Plus, even if the offensive line and receivers exceed expectations in St. Louis, can Foles put up quality fantasy production now that he's out of Kelly's quarterback-friendly system? Even before he was injured last year, Foles struggled with accuracy and turnovers as defenses caught up with Kelly's offense.

Bottom Line
Foles projects as a game-manager in the Rams' run-first offense. Even if he winds up having what would be considered a good season, he'll likely max out between 20 and 23 touchdowns, and around 3,800 yards. Currently sitting at No. 21 in our quarterback rankings, Foles projects as a low-end QB2 for 2015. There are too many questions surrounding the Rams' offense and Foles' potential isn't too intriguing.

2015 Strength of Schedule - STL
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
1
SEA
32
@WAS
31
PIT
11
@ARI
14
@GB
BYE8
CLE
15
SF
10
@MIN
30
CHI
19
@BAL
3
@CIN
11
ARI
9
DET
16
TB
1
@SEA
15
@SF

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2014 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPCRuAttYdsTDFumYPRSnaps%
1JAX2745322217.1611.930002-87/87100%
2IND2137331118.9515.76422005.5068/68100%
3WAS2741325307.9312.04412003.0073/73100%
4SF2143195024.539.2911001.0060/60100%
5STL2437207215.598.62213016.5073/73100%
6NYG2134248227.2911.8125002.5072/72100%
7BYE--------------
8ARI3662411226.6311.42214007.0092/92100%
9HOU1013124119.5412.4011001.0020/8324%
10CAR--------------
11GB--------------
12TEN--------------
13DAL--------------
14SEA--------------
15DAL--------------
16WAS--------------
17NYG--------------
Totals187312216313106.9311.571668034.25545/60890%

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