2017 Standard QB Rankings with Sortable Projections
In his first 27 NFL games, Mariota has averaged 17.7 fantasy points per game, which would have extrapolated to about what Dak Prescott scored last year as the league’s #6 fantasy quarterback. When his six-attempt game against the Patriots (from his rookie year) is removed, his average jumps to 18.3 FP. With the addition of Corey Davis, the #5 overall pick, and TD-machine Eric Decker, Mariota now has Davis, Decker, Rishard Matthews and Delanie Walker to throw to.
Wilson finished as the #10 fantasy quarterback, and it was considered a disappointment. One big reason he failed to live up to preseason expectations was his lack of rushing yardage. He finished with less than half of his 2015 rushing totals. Had he maintained those rushing yards, he would have finished #6 instead of #10. Injuries early in the season played a factor in his willingness to run. He started to run the ball more in Week 11, and averaged 28.4 rushing yards per game over his last seven starts, not including the playoffs. If he hits the 90-100 range in rushing attempts next year, it should lead to a bounce back season.
Big Ben’s home/away splits are becoming the stuff of legend. Over the last three seasons, Roethlisberger is averaging 340 passing yards, 2.9 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions at home, while posting just 270 yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions on the road. Normally, owners shouldn’t put too much stock in small sample splits, but this 42-game sample is pretty eye-opening. On the flip side, his splits with the recently reinstated Martavis Bryant (347 yards, 8.37 YPA, 2.8 TDs per game) are impressive as well. If he stays healthy, he’s primed for a bounce-back season.
Taylor was a 4for4 favorite in 2016 until Sammy Watkins’ injury and he still produced top 8 numbers with Watkins in and out of the lineup. He was a top 10 quarterback on a per game basis in 2015, so he has now produced starter-caliber numbers in two straight seasons. His age 26-27 numbers compare to Russell Wilson’s, so as long as Watkins stays healthy (fingers crossed), Taylor is shaping up as one of the best late-round values at his position.
Manning finished QB21 in 2016 despite a healthy season from Odell Beckham. This could be a Matt Ryan situation, since Ryan followed up career-worst fantasy finish in 2015 with his career-best in 2016, but Manning and the offense were worse this year when everyone expected both to be better in his third full season in Ben McAdoo’s offense. One encouraging stat is that the Giants have finished in the top 9 in pass attempts in three straight seasons under McAdoo. The addition of Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram give Manning a couple of talented targets to throw to.
McCown had the best stint of his career playing for Marc Trestman in Chicago in 2013. That year, he posted a 13-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio and averaged 8.2 YPA, a career high. In his 74 other career appearances, he averaged 6.54 YPA and posted a 66-to-68 TD-to-INT ratio. Don't expect any miracles in New York, but McCown could work his way into the streaming conversation in larger formats.
In 18 starts, Glennon has averaged 217 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game en route to a 6.56 YPA (not good) and 13.6 fantasy points per game, which is what Trevor Siemian posted last season. In his defense, 13 of those starts were during his rookie year, and rookie quarterbacks are generally not very good. Still, his 19-to-9 touchdown-to-interception ratio as a rookie, and his improved YPA (6.98) as a sophomore has put him in the mix to start in 2017.
Full 4for4 offensive projection data in CSV format (for Excel etc.)