Fantasy Upside
Keenan Allen will be looking to remain healthy and bounce back from a 2022 season in which he missed seven of the first nine games due to injuries. That said, his production per game was on par with his career norms -- and at times above it. It's worth noting his career-long consistency. The five-time Pro Bowl selection will surely go over the 800-reception mark for his career and figures to top 10,000 career yards if he stays healthy. More to the immediate point, you'll want to remember that upon his return from injury in Week 11 last season, Allen turned in top-five production at his position while commanding a 26.5 percent target share and a 34.9 percent air yard share. His only two 100-yard outings came in the final three weeks of the season. He also had two big reception games in December -- games of 12 and 11 -- falling two weeks apart.
Fantasy Downside
Beyond his advancing age (Allen is 30), the Chargers and fantasy managers need him to remain on the field and not observing from the sideline.
2023 Bottom Line
With quarterback Justin Herbert entering his prime, Allen could regain the form he displayed from 2017-2021 when he had 100 or more receptions four times and fell eight yards shy in 2020 from having a run of five consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns. Given his late-season production last year, there's ample reason to be optimistic about his ability to post numbers that exceed his current fifth-round ADP.
