Kareem Hunt rushed for 841 yards and six touchdowns on 198 carries (4.2 YPC). He also caught 38-of-51 targets for 304 yards and five touchdowns, finishing as RB18 in half-PPR points per game. The Browns should continue to be a run-heavy offense, so Hunt will still have opportunities to provide low-end RB2/high-end RB3 value, even with Chubb acting as the lead back. The upside for Hunt is high because if Chubb were forced to miss time due to injury, he would immediately vault into the Top-10. While Hunt isn’t as efficient of a runner, his higher passing game volume gives him a high ceiling. The Browns should be able to rack up points at a high rate, so the touchdown opportunities will be there for Hunt. They project as one of the best teams in football, so there will likely be several positive game scripts as well.
It’s clear that Chubb is the best back on the team, which adds risk to Hunt because if the Browns opt to pass more like they did down the stretch last season, that could mean fewer opportunities for Hunt. Hunt needs the Browns to remain as one of the most run-heavy offenses in the NFL, or else he just becomes a better version of Baltimore’s Gus Edwards. Hunt only averaged nine touches per game in the postseason, so there’s a risk that the Browns started to shift their philosophy towards a more Chubb-centric backfield. This really demonstrates Hunt’s low floor, as he had seven games with fewer than 70 total yards (including postseason).
2021 Bottom Line
Hunt is a talented back in an elite offense, but the fact remains that he’s the clear-cut RB2 on this team. This makes him a risky pick at RB25 (69.7 ADP) in Underdog fantasy leagues. Hunt. At the same time, if you decide to go WR-heavy in the early rounds, Hunt makes for an ideal RB2 because he’s the rare back who has a high ceiling with standalone value as his team’s backup RB. Hunt should be able to provide Top-30 value at his position with the upside for more, but you will just have to deal with a low weekly floor.