Fantasy Upside
While not exactly a stellar performer in 2022, Dak Prescott was still able to post 16.6 fantasy points per game, thanks in no small part to a 5.9% touchdown rate. Prescott tossed 23 scores on 394 attempts in his 12 games, but his 15 interceptions were a career-high. The Cowboys acquired Brandin Cooks in a trade with the Houston Texans, and this gives Prescott a solid 1-2 punch at wide receiver with CeeDee Lamb. Prescott does not seem to offer much as a runner anymore, with just two rushing scores over the last two seasons, but his knack for throwing touchdown passes should keep him fantasy relevant in 2023.
Fantasy Downside
Kellen Moore is gone from the Dallas Cowboys, taking his “lighting up the scoreboard” mentality with him to the Los Angeles Chargers. In his stead, the Cowboys have appointed Brian Schottenheimer as offensive coordinator, but head coach Mike McCarthy will call the plays. There is a real danger that the Cowboys become ridiculously run-heavy, therefore capping Prescott’s passing and his fantasy appeal.
2023 Bottom Line
Prescott is currently going off draft boards as a low-end QB1, but this seems to be taking him at his absolute ceiling in 2023, given his lack of rushing upside and the slow, run-heavy offense he could find himself at the helm of. Prescott profiles as more of a mid-level QB2 according to our metrics.
