• Chris Hogan

  • WR
  • ,
  • 35
  • 210 lbs
  • 6' 1"
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Week 5 Projection
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Scouting report

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 vs. Indianapolis Colts (TNF)

The Patriots have the highest implied team total for Week 5 at 31 points, coming off a dominant performance against the Dolphins. Indy ranks just 13th in aFPA against WRs, but the Colts offense may have trouble moving the ball with a banged up O-Line and down its best pass-catcher in T.Y. Hilton. That could lead to even more possessions for the Patriots offense. However, with Julian Edelman back from suspension and only one target for Hogan last week, he cannot be trusted in Week 5. Keep him out of lineups.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 vs. Miami Dolphins

Patriots receivers have struggled to produce for fantasy purposes, to put it mildly. Chris Hogan has a good matchup on paper, with the Dolphins only ranked 22nd in aFPA to WRs, but he's simply not seeing enough targets to warrant confidence in starting lineups. He's failed to reach 50 yards in each game, making him touchdown dependent. And Hogan hasn't scored in his last three games against Miami. It's hard to stick with Hogan at this point.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Detroit Lions

The Patriots have the second-highest implied team total of 30 points for Week 3. New England traded for Josh Gordon this week, but he is likely to be worked in slowly, learning the offense and recovering from a hamstring injury. Julian Edelman is still suspended. Detroit has allowed three touchdowns to WRs through two weeks. Despite Hogan only having five targets each of the first two weeks, he's still no worse than a flex play in Week 3.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Jacksonville Jaguars

Chris Hogan did not look good last week. Now he faces the toughest secondary in the league. Jacksonville was first last year in aFPA to WRs. Plus, the Patriots' implied team total is seven points lower than it generally is with Tom Brady at the helm. Fade Chris Hogan in Week 2, as Brady will likely look to get his RBs involved with Rob Gronkowski in the passing game. Hogan's floor is very low again this week.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Houston Texans

Julian Edelman is suspended and the Patriots do not have a reliable No. 2 WR on the depth chart, clearing the way for Chris Hogan and Rob Gronkowski to lead this passing attack in Week 1. At 28.5 points, the Patriots are getting massive respect in Vegas to open the season, as only the Saints have a higher implied team total. Hogan is locked in as a WR2 with upside for Week 1 against a Texans secondary that ranked just 24th in aFPA to WRs last year.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - 2018 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
With Julian Edelman suspended four games to start the season, Chris Hogan becomes the definitive WR1 in this offense to start the season. Injuries sidelined Hogan for part of last season, but when he played, he was on pace for almost nine touchdowns.

Fantasy Downside

Once Edelman comes back, Hogan will likely be third in line for targets or worse behind Edelman, Rob Gronkowski and perhaps Patriots RBs some weeks. That makes for a touchdown-dependent situation, in which redraft owners could get frustrated with when to start and sit him.

2018 Bottom Line

Hogan makes for a much better best-ball and standard redraft league play than PPR once Edelman returns from injury. He could help you get off to a good start the first four weeks of the season, but it feels like he'll be a sell-high candidate after that. His sixth-round ADP is pricey, considering we have later WRs ranked higher.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Chris Hogan - Week 21 Fantasy Football Outlook

Super Bowl vs. Philadelphia Eagles

What matters in this different one-game format is not so much how many points we project each player for but how much each player costs per point. In FanDuel's half-point PPR format, here's how we value the wide receivers in terms of dollar/FanDuel point: Brandin Cooks>Alshon Jeffery>Nelson Agholor>Danny Amendola>Torrey Smith>Chris Hogan>Mack Hollins>Phillip Dorsett.

As for DraftKings' full PPR scoring, here's how we value the receivers in terms of dollar/DraftKings point: Brandin Cooks>Nelson Agholor>Alshon Jeffery>Danny Amendola>Torrey Smith>Chris Hogan>Mack Hollins>Phillip Dorsett.

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