Week 13 vs. Tennessee Titans
Chester Rogers caught his lone target last week and gained 12 yards. Rogers has only two games with double-digit PPR points, despite playing 53% of the team’s offensive snaps this season. It will be interesting to see whether Rogers or Marcus Johnson see a decrease in snaps if T.Y. Hilton returns to full health this week, but either way, Rogers has simply been too unproductive to warrant a roster spot in the vast majority of fantasy leagues.
Week 12 at Houston Texans
Chester Rogers had a nice 18-yard run last week against the Jaguars, but he only had one reception for 11 yards to go with it. Rogers has been relegated to WR3 duties while the top three wide receivers for the Colts have been injured. That doesn’t bode well for him should any of those guys return – T.Y. Hilton is questionable this week – and the team can’t sustain more than one fantasy receiver as it is. Leave Rogers on waivers.
Week 11 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Chester Rogers caught two balls for 31 yards last week in what should’ve been an excellent matchup against the Dolphins. He has scored two touchdowns this season, but has been otherwise irrelevant as a fantasy option. While he has upside in a depleted receiving corps, it’s too risky to trust him and fantasy owners should leave him on waivers.
Week 10 vs. Miami Dolphins
Chester Rogers played 65% of the team’s offensive snaps last week with T.Y. Hilton sidelined, a number that should at least maintain – if not increase – after Parris Campbell fractured his hand. Rogers only had 22 yards on three receptions against the Steelers, but he caught a touchdown and he has an excellent matchup this week against the Dolphins. Fantasy owners should be cautious about trusting any of the Colts’ backup receivers, but there’s some upside here for desperate owners. Rogers should get increased snaps and there’s a dearth of options for Colts’ quarterbacks to throw to. Only the Buccaneers rank lower in aFPA to opposing wide receivers than the Dolphins this year, giving Rogers some shot-in-the-dark potential.
Week 7 vs. Houston Texans
Chester Rogers had 48 yards and a touchdown in Week 4 against the Raiders, but then failed to catch either of his two targets against the Chiefs before the bye last week. The only Colts wide receiver to offer any kind of consistent fantasy production this year is T.Y. Hilton, and with him in the lineup, it’s hard to imagine any of the other options producing. Fantasy owners should steer clear of the situation and Rodgers doesn’t offer enough long-term upside to warrant a roster spot in the vast majority of leagues.
Week 5 at Kansas City Chiefs
Chester Rogers had a touchdown last week against the Raiders, but he only caught three balls for 48 yards. He was targeted six times however and was second among wide receivers in snaps. With T.Y. Hilton sidelined, he went from 41% of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 3 to 71% last week. Rogers has some upside against a Chiefs team that will likely keep the Colts offense throwing the ball to keep up, but it’s hard to imagine Rogers being the best or most consistent option in the receiving corps. He has some long-shot potential, but is probably best left on waivers.
Week 4 vs. Oakland Raiders
Despite being on the field for 41% of the team’s offensive snaps last week, Chester Rogers failed to catch a ball and wasn’t even targeted. Rogers has seen the field, so there’s always the potential for him to become part of the offense, but in a large group of receivers trying to stand out, there’s no reason to think Rogers will come out on top, even with T.Y. Hilton likely to miss a nice matchup against the Raiders. Leave him on waivers.
Week 19 at Kanas City Chiefs
Despite being five-point underdogs in Kansas City, Vegas expects a shootout between the Chiefs and the Colts. That has pushed the Colts implied team total in the divisional round up higher than 25 points. In the passing game, KC ranks just 25th in aFPA to WRs. T.Y. Hilton hasn't practiced in weeks but keeps playing. He's in a position for a big week again if he can make it through the game. If he struggles to stay on the field, Dontrelle Inman has emerged as the Colts WR2 and makes for a solid sleeper option in the divisional round. Chester Rogers is nothing more than a dart throw.
Week 15 vs. Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis has an above average implied team total this week against a tough Dallas defense. That implied total is 25 points. However, the Cowboys rank top five in aFPA to RBs, foreshadowing a pass-heavy attack for the Colts. The Cowboys may rank top 10 in aFPA to WRs, but T.Y. Hilton is as dependable as they get in terms of targets lately, with three straight 10+ target games. Outside of Hilton though, no other Colts receiver can be relied upon for fantasy production.
Week 13 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Remember when facing the Jaguars defense was a near death sentence for a player's fantasy prospects? That's not the case anymore. The Jags are tough against RBs (2nd in aFPA), but the Colts have an implied team total of 25.5 on the road. This should mean the Jags are a pass funnel offense this week, despite ranking 10th in aFPA to WRs, benefiting Colts pass catchers. Jacksonville's offense also operates at a faster pace when Leonard Fournette is out, which should mean additional offensive plays for the Colts too. However, Chester Rogers has just six targets in his last two games. He's not a viable fantasy starter in re-draft leagues.
