Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 295 passing yards (actual 281)

2) Joe Flacco would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 72 yards below average)

3) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

4) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 369)

5) Matt Ryan 28.4 fantasy points (actual 27.5)

6) Tom Brady 330 passing yards (actual 340)

7) Larry Fitzgerald 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

8) DeSean Jackson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

9) Aaron Rodgers 28.3 fantasy points (actual 28.4)

10) Pierre Garcon 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

11) LeSean McCoy 20 receiving yards (actual 21)

12) Rob Gronkowski 10.3 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

13) Antonio Brown 104 receiving yards (actual 105)

14) A.J. Green 86 receiving yards (actual 85)

15) Julio Jones 15.1 fantasy points (actual 14.3)

16) Kyle Rudolph 40 receiving yards (actual 37)

17) Andy Dalton projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

18) Bilal Powell 60 rushing yards (actual 59)

19) Andrew Luck 23.0 fantasy points (actual 22.7)

20) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 105 yards below average)

21) Zach Ertz 6.8 receptions (actual = 7)

22) Jordan Reed 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

23) Blake Bortles would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 156 yards below average)

24) Derek Carr would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 186 yards below average)

25) Isaiah Crowell would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 58 yards below average)

26) Brandin Cooks would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards below average)

27) Jordan Matthews 2.5 fantasy points (actual 2.6)

28) Allen Robinson 67 receiving yards (actual 64)

29) Paul Richardson 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

30) Trey Burton 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Adam Thielen would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 123)

32) Taylor Gabriel 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

33) Todd Gurley would rush for 100+ yards (actual 208)

34) Jeff Heuerman 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

35) Jesse James would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 24 yards below average)

36) Jared Goff would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 144 yards below average)

37) Dak Prescott 194 passing yards (actual 183)

38) Ezekiel Elliott 114 total yards (actual 117 yards)

39) Jordan Howard 68 rushing yards (actual 69)

40) Jakeem Grant 3.2 fantasy points (actual 3.2)

41) Chester Rogers 52 receiving yards (actual 55)

42) Deshaun Watson would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 147 yards below average)

43) Patrick Mahomes would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 352)

44) Christian McCaffrey 51 receiving yards (actual 46)

45) Kareem Hunt 79 rushing yards (actual 80)

46) JuJu Smith-Schuster 11.7 fantasy points (actual 11.1)

47) Cooper Kupp would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 88 yards below average)

48) Zay Jones 38 receiving yards (actual 35)

49) Matt Breida 58 total yards (actual 61 yards)

50) Keelan Cole 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

51) Kendrick Bourne 20 receiving yards (actual 22)

52) Josh Allen would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 84)

53) Sam Darnold 18.9 fantasy points (actual 18.0)

54) Courtland Sutton 55 receiving yards (actual 58)

55) Michael Gallup 25 receiving yards (actual 27)

56) Jordan Wilkins would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 6 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 296 2.1 298 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 237 1.4 276 1.8 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 207 1.1 192 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 6 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 143 1.4 114 1.1 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 62 0.3 73 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.2 44 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 6 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 97 0.7 90 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 51 0.5 65 0.5 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 51 0.4 47 0.4 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w7