Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 142 yards below average)

2) Joe Flacco 22.2 fantasy points (actual 22.2)

3) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 106 yards below average)

4) Tom Brady 289 passing yards (actual 274)

5) Aaron Rodgers 285 passing yards (actual 298)

6) Jordy Nelson 49 receiving yards (actual 48)

7) Ryan Fitzpatrick would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 284 yards below average)

8) Jimmy Graham 8.2 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

9) A.J. Green 84 receiving yards (actual 78)

10) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 173)

11) Andy Dalton 24.3 fantasy points (actual 24.8)

12) Dion Lewis 70 total yards (actual 66 yards)

13) Cole Beasley 5.4 fantasy points (actual 5.3)

14) Josh Bellamy 22 receiving yards (actual 20)

15) Giovani Bernard would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 25 yards above average)

16) Travis Kelce 85 receiving yards (actual 78)

17) Tyler Eifert 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Carlos Hyde 76 rushing yards (actual 82)

19) Mike Evans would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 63 yards below average)

20) Quincy Enunwa 67 receiving yards (actual 66)

21) Allen Hurns 28 receiving yards (actual 30)

22) Adam Thielen would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 135)

23) Willie Snead 5.9 fantasy points (actual 5.6)

24) Marcus Mariota would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 243 yards above average)

25) Todd Gurley 20.5 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

26) Tevin Coleman 27 receiving yards (actual 26)

27) David Johnson 70 rushing yards (actual 71)

28) Nelson Agholor 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

29) Stefon Diggs 11.7 fantasy points (actual 12.3)

30) Jesse James would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 45 yards below average)

31) Dak Prescott 18.9 fantasy points (actual 18.4)

32) Ezekiel Elliott would rush for 100+ yards (actual 152)

33) Wendell Smallwood 54 total yards (actual 54 yards)

34) Will Fuller 11.4 fantasy points (actual 10.9)

35) Sterling Shepard 72 receiving yards (actual 77)

36) Deshaun Watson projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

37) Mitch Trubisky would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 157 yards above average)

38) Patrick Mahomes 321 passing yards (actual 304)

39) Alvin Kamara would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 87 yards above average)

40) John Ross would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 43 yards above average)

41) JuJu Smith-Schuster would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

42) Zay Jones 40 receiving yards (actual 38)

43) O.J. Howard would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 74 yards below average)

44) Kenny Golladay 79 receiving yards (actual 74)

45) Matt Breida would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 52 yards below average)

46) Sam Darnold would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 167)

47) Sony Michel would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 70 yards above average)

48) Rashaad Penny 50 rushing yards (actual 49)

49) Kerryon Johnson 51 rushing yards (actual 55)

50) Phillip Lindsay would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 20 yards below average)

51) Calvin Ridley would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 51 yards below average)

52) Courtland Sutton 48 receiving yards (actual 51)

53) Antonio Callaway 56 receiving yards (actual 54)

54) Mark Andrews would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 24 yards below average)

55) Will Dissly would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 45 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.