Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 75 yards below average)

2) Larry Fitzgerald 58 receiving yards (actual 55)

3) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

4) Michael Crabtree 34 receiving yards (actual 31)

5) Demaryius Thomas 49 receiving yards (actual 48)

6) Julio Jones 114 receiving yards (actual 106)

7) Cam Newton 264 passing yards (actual 265)

8) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

9) Mohamed Sanu 56 receiving yards (actual 54)

10) Josh Gordon 9.7 fantasy points (actual 9.6)

11) Keenan Allen 14.3 fantasy points (actual 13.8)

12) Travis Kelce 85 receiving yards (actual 77)

13) Mike Evans 84 receiving yards (actual 86)

14) Davante Adams 14.5 fantasy points (actual 14.1)

15) Donte Moncrief 43 receiving yards (actual 47)

16) John Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

17) Tevin Coleman 44 rushing yards (actual 45)

18) Stefon Diggs 71 receiving yards (actual 76)

19) Tyler Lockett 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

20) Jesse James 27 receiving yards (actual 28)

21) C.J. Uzomah 39 receiving yards (actual 37)

22) Ezekiel Elliott 20.3 fantasy points (actual 19.2)

23) Laquon Treadwell 16 receiving yards (actual 16)

24) Michael Thomas 102 receiving yards (actual 98)

25) Tyreek Hill 13.8 fantasy points (actual 14.5)

26) Deshaun Watson 270 passing yards (actual 267)

27) Patrick Mahomes would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 377)

28) Ricky Seals-Jones 29 receiving yards (actual 31)

29) Kendrick Bourne 2.3 fantasy points (actual 2.2)

30) Saquon Barkley projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

31) Jeff Wilson 100 total yards (actual 96 yards)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 14 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 264 1.6 287 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 270 1.5 254 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 173 0.9 196 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 14 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 98 0.6 116 1.0 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 69 0.3 77 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 37 0.4 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 14 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 94 0.6 88 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 58 0.4 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.2 41 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w15