Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) Matt Ryan would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 204 yards below average)

3) Aaron Rodgers would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 64 yards below average)

4) Michael Crabtree 40 receiving yards (actual 36)

5) Jimmy Graham 5.0 fantasy points (actual 5.0)

6) Antonio Brown projected receiving TDs 1.0 (actual 1)

7) Cam Newton 300 passing yards (actual 300)

8) Kyle Rudolph 40 receiving yards (actual 38)

9) T.Y. Hilton 84 receiving yards (actual 77)

10) Rhett Ellison 4.3 fantasy points (actual 4.2)

11) DeAndre Hopkins 99 receiving yards (actual 91)

12) Zach Ertz 76 receiving yards (actual 83)

13) Derek Carr 280 passing yards (actual 285)

14) Davante Adams projected receiving TDs 1.0 (actual 1)

15) Donte Moncrief 41 receiving yards (actual 40)

16) Allen Robinson 7.9 fantasy points (actual 7.9)

17) John Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

18) Cameron Brate 35 receiving yards (actual 36)

19) Marcus Mariota 22.5 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

20) Todd Gurley would rush for 100+ yards (actual 132)

21) Amari Cooper 82 receiving yards (actual 75)

22) Stefon Diggs 48 receiving yards (actual 49)

23) Seth Roberts 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

24) Adam Humphries 64 receiving yards (actual 61)

25) Carson Wentz projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

26) Dak Prescott 260 passing yards (actual 248)

27) Ezekiel Elliott 18.8 fantasy points (actual 19.6)

28) Austin Hooper 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

29) Robby Anderson 47 receiving yards (actual 48)

30) Patrick Mahomes 33.8 fantasy points (actual 33.0)

31) George Kittle 71 receiving yards (actual 70)

32) Phillip Lindsay would rush for 100+ yards (actual 157)

33) Courtland Sutton 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

34) Christian Kirk 52 receiving yards (actual 54)

35) D.J. Moore 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

36) Anthony Miller 6.4 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.