Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) Drew Brees 29.4 fantasy points (actual 30.5)

3) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

4) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

5) Matt Ryan 289 passing yards (actual 291)

6) DeSean Jackson 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

7) Adrian Peterson 55 rushing yards (actual 51)

8) Golden Tate 46 receiving yards (actual 48)

9) Antonio Brown projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

10) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 118)

11) Cam Newton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 125 yards above average)

12) Andrew Luck 24.8 fantasy points (actual 23.9)

13) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

14) Lamar Miller 11.4 fantasy points (actual 10.8)

15) Mohamed Sanu 6.0 fantasy points (actual 5.9)

16) Cole Beasley 4.8 fantasy points (actual 5.1)

17) Keenan Allen 86 receiving yards (actual 89)

18) Robert Woods 12.5 fantasy points (actual 13.2)

19) Vance McDonald 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

20) Blake Bortles would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 156 yards below average)

21) Derek Carr would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 79 yards below average)

22) Sammy Watkins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards below average)

23) Mike Evans 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

24) Adam Thielen 6.7 receptions (actual = 7)

25) Todd Gurley 43 receiving yards (actual 39)

26) Tevin Coleman 61 rushing yards (actual 58)

27) David Johnson would rush for 100+ yards (actual 137)

28) C.J. Uzomah 4.1 fantasy points (actual 4.1)

29) Seth Roberts 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

30) Adam Humphries 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

31) Jared Goff would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 413)

32) Ezekiel Elliott would rush for 100+ yards (actual 122)

33) Derrick Henry 48 rushing yards (actual 46)

34) Jordan Howard 61 total yards (actual 65 yards)

35) Tyler Boyd 70 receiving yards (actual 71)

36) Tyreek Hill would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 215)

37) Patrick Mahomes would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 478)

38) Christian McCaffrey 56 receiving yards (actual 57)

39) Kareem Hunt 75 rushing yards (actual 70)

40) Mike Williams 5.3 fantasy points (actual 5.6)

41) JuJu Smith-Schuster 11.0 fantasy points (actual 10.4)

42) O.J. Howard 7.4 fantasy points (actual 7.8)

43) Kerryon Johnson 95 total yards (actual 97 yards)

44) Courtland Sutton would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards above average)

45) Mark Andrews 19 receiving yards (actual 19)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.