Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 19.3 fantasy points (actual 19.5)

2) Ben Roethlisberger 311 passing yards (actual 328)

3) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

4) DeSean Jackson 68 receiving yards (actual 67)

5) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

6) Adrian Peterson 73 total yards (actual 69 yards)

7) LeSean McCoy would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 75 yards above average)

8) Antonio Brown 16.3 fantasy points (actual 15.6)

9) Julio Jones 103 receiving yards (actual 107)

10) Terrelle Pryor would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

11) Mohamed Sanu 43 receiving yards (actual 47)

12) Jarius Wright 2.3 fantasy points (actual 2.2)

13) Josh Gordon 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

14) Cole Beasley 36 receiving yards (actual 37)

15) Keenan Allen 12.3 fantasy points (actual 11.7)

16) Robert Woods 11.1 fantasy points (actual 10.6)

17) Travis Kelce 6.2 receptions (actual = 6)

18) Vance McDonald 44 receiving yards (actual 44)

19) Blake Bortles 21.5 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

20) Derek Carr 253 passing yards (actual 243)

21) Isaiah Crowell 9.4 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

22) Mike Evans would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 47 yards below average)

23) Marcus Mariota 21.8 fantasy points (actual 21.3)

24) Todd Gurley would rush for 100+ yards (actual 120)

25) Melvin Gordon 21.8 fantasy points (actual 22.5)

26) David Johnson would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 49 yards above average)

27) Tyler Lockett 63 receiving yards (actual 67)

28) C.J. Uzomah 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

29) Seth Roberts 3.9 fantasy points (actual 3.9)

30) Jared Goff 305 passing yards (actual 318)

31) Dak Prescott projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

32) Chester Rogers would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

33) Cooper Kupp 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

34) O.J. Howard would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards below average)

35) Baker Mayfield 23.3 fantasy points (actual 22.6)

36) Kerryon Johnson 85 total yards (actual 89 yards)

37) Chris Herndon 33 receiving yards (actual 34)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 10 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 282 2.2 293 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 266 1.8 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 177 0.7 195 1.0 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 10 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 134 1.3 119 1.1 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 88 0.7 77 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.3 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 10 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 82 1.1 88 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 63 0.2 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 35 0.2 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w11