Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 329 passing yards (actual 346)

2) Ben Roethlisberger 274 passing yards (actual 270)

3) Tom Brady 308 passing yards (actual 294)

4) Frank Gore 54 rushing yards (actual 53)

5) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

6) Pierre Garcon 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

7) Ben Watson 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

8) Danny Amendola 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

9) Demaryius Thomas 56 receiving yards (actual 61)

10) Emmanuel Sanders 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

11) Jimmy Graham 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

12) Julio Jones 7.3 receptions (actual = 7)

13) Cam Newton projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

14) Terrelle Pryor 18 receiving yards (actual 17)

15) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

16) Marvin Jones 66 receiving yards (actual 66)

17) Josh Gordon would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 83 yards above average)

18) Keenan Allen 6.3 receptions (actual = 6)

19) DeAndre Hopkins 104 receiving yards (actual 105)

20) Sammy Watkins 61 receiving yards (actual 62)

21) Mike Evans would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 94 yards below average)

22) Kelvin Benjamin 39 receiving yards (actual 40)

23) Davante Adams would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

24) Martavis Bryant 30 receiving yards (actual 29)

25) James White 71 receiving yards (actual 72)

26) Allen Hurns 24 receiving yards (actual 23)

27) Willie Snead 6.0 fantasy points (actual 5.8)

28) Taylor Gabriel 48 receiving yards (actual 45)

29) Marcus Mariota would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 68 yards above average)

30) Todd Gurley projected rushing TDs 1.0 (actual 1)

31) Melvin Gordon 17.4 fantasy points (actual 18.3)

32) Chris Conley 2.2 fantasy points (actual 2.3)

33) Jared Goff 27.7 fantasy points (actual 27.3)

34) Michael Thomas would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 211)

35) Austin Hooper 38 receiving yards (actual 41)

36) Deshaun Watson projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

37) Mitch Trubisky would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 124 yards below average)

38) Patrick Mahomes would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 375)

39) Kareem Hunt 83 rushing yards (actual 91)

40) Corey Davis 61 receiving yards (actual 56)

41) JuJu Smith-Schuster 71 receiving yards (actual 78)

42) Cooper Kupp 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

43) O.J. Howard 48 receiving yards (actual 53)

44) Baker Mayfield would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 52 yards above average)

45) Sam Darnold 231 passing yards (actual 229)

46) Anthony Miller 5.9 fantasy points (actual 5.8)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 9 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 280 2.1 294 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 218 0.8 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 171 1.2 198 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 9 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 116 1.4 116 1.1 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 64 0.5 75 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 38 0.3 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 9 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 80 0.6 89 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 69 0.1 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 31 0.2 45 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w10