Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Michael Crabtree 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

2) Jared Cook 5.9 fantasy points (actual 5.7)

3) Alex Smith would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 81 yards below average)

4) Demaryius Thomas 66 receiving yards (actual 66)

5) Jimmy Graham 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Mark Ingram 75 rushing yards (actual 75)

7) Virgil Green 17 receiving yards (actual 16)

8) Doug Baldwin 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

9) Kirk Cousins 270 passing yards (actual 263)

10) Lamar Miller 59 rushing yards (actual 54)

11) Alshon Jeffery 57 receiving yards (actual 62)

12) Mike Gillislee 31 rushing yards (actual 34)

13) Terrance Williams 34 receiving yards (actual 36)

14) Carlos Hyde 22 receiving yards (actual 22)

15) Austin Seferian-Jenkins 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

16) Cameron Brate 6.7 fantasy points (actual 6.4)

17) Amari Cooper 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

18) Nelson Agholor 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

19) Stefon Diggs 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Adam Humphries 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

21) Carson Wentz projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

22) Laquon Treadwell 2.0 fantasy points (actual 2.1)

23) Michael Thomas 77 receiving yards (actual 77)

24) Ricardo Louis 4.4 fantasy points (actual 4.2)

25) DeShone Kizer 171 passing yards (actual 179)

26) Christian McCaffrey 49 receiving yards (actual 49)

27) Kareem Hunt would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 56 yards below average)

28) Zay Jones 3.4 fantasy points (actual 3.2)

29) Trent Taylor 3.5 fantasy points (actual 3.3)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 8 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 255 1.3 267 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 358 1.6 265 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 207 1.0 207 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 8 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 106 0.8 111 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 97 0.4 83 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 36 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 8 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 57 0.3 79 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 56 0.2 58 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w9