Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

2) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 331)

3) Joe Flacco 194 passing yards (actual 186)

4) Carson Palmer would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 188 yards below average)

5) Jonathan Stewart 47 rushing yards (actual 48)

6) DeSean Jackson 7.6 fantasy points (actual 7.3)

7) Jason Witten 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

8) Ben Watson 41 receiving yards (actual 38)

9) LeSean McCoy 115 total yards (actual 122 yards)

10) Dez Bryant 67 receiving yards (actual 63)

11) LeGarrette Blount would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 49 yards below average)

12) Ed Dickson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 43 yards below average)

13) Jimmy Graham 47 receiving yards (actual 51)

14) Antonio Brown 12.9 fantasy points (actual 12.5)

15) Chris Ivory would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 20 yards above average)

16) Julio Jones 94 receiving yards (actual 99)

17) DeMarco Murray 7.8 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

18) Tyrod Taylor 20.6 fantasy points (actual 20.0)

19) Kirk Cousins 23.1 fantasy points (actual 23.9)

20) Chris Hogan 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

21) LeVeon Bell 18.5 fantasy points (actual 19.2)

22) Kenny Stills would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards above average)

23) Robert Woods 54 receiving yards (actual 59)

24) Travis Kelce 8.8 fantasy points (actual 9.3)

25) Derek Carr would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 232 yards above average)

26) Carlos Hyde 68 rushing yards (actual 68)

27) Devonta Freeman 79 rushing yards (actual 72)

28) Sammy Watkins 41 receiving yards (actual 42)

29) Marqise Lee 7.4 fantasy points (actual 7.2)

30) Kelvin Benjamin 62 receiving yards (actual 65)

31) Brandin Cooks 71 receiving yards (actual 65)

32) Donte Moncrief 33 receiving yards (actual 30)

33) Jarvis Landry 7.1 receptions (actual = 7)

34) Bennie Fowler 43 receiving yards (actual 45)

35) Adam Thielen 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

36) Cameron Brate 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.0)

37) Amari Cooper would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 186 yards above average)

38) J.J. Nelson 36 receiving yards (actual 35)

39) Trevor Siemian would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)

40) Carson Wentz 269 passing yards (actual 268)

41) Jacoby Brissett 192 passing yards (actual 200)

42) Michael Thomas 89 receiving yards (actual 82)

43) Ricardo Louis 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

44) Seth DeValve 25 receiving yards (actual 27)

45) Cooper Kupp 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

46) Taywan Taylor 4.3 fantasy points (actual 4.5)

47) Evan Engram 55 receiving yards (actual 60)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 7 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 292 2.2 269 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 246 1.5 258 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 204 1.2 207 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 7 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 117 0.8 112 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 62 0.0 82 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.1 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 7 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 70 0.6 81 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 54 0.4 58 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.3 40 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w8