Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

2) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

3) Joe Flacco would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 180)

4) Ben Roethlisberger 254 passing yards (actual 252)

5) Tom Brady would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 83 yards below average)

6) Marshawn Lynch 61 rushing yards (actual 63)

7) Josh McCown 19.4 fantasy points (actual 20.3)

8) Matthew Stafford would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 89 yards above average)

9) Mike Wallace 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Alex Smith 247 passing yards (actual 246)

11) Jermaine Gresham 32 receiving yards (actual 32)

12) LeGarrette Blount 62 rushing yards (actual 67)

13) Ed Dickson 39 receiving yards (actual 36)

14) Emmanuel Sanders 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

15) Julio Jones 6.3 receptions (actual = 6)

16) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

17) Lamar Miller 86 total yards (actual 81 yards)

18) Rishard Matthews 64 receiving yards (actual 69)

19) Case Keenum 244 passing yards (actual 239)

20) LeVeon Bell would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 105 yards above average)

21) Kenny Stills 50 receiving yards (actual 49)

22) Darren Fells 25 receiving yards (actual 26)

23) Isaiah Crowell 53 rushing yards (actual 58)

24) Brandin Cooks 9.5 fantasy points (actual 9.3)

25) Jarvis Landry 8.1 receptions (actual = 8)

26) T.J. Jones 36 receiving yards (actual 33)

27) Michael Campanaro 2.3 fantasy points (actual 2.4)

28) Bennie Fowler 22 receiving yards (actual 21)

29) Adam Thielen 9.5 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

30) Jameis Winston would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 239 yards below average)

31) Marcus Mariota would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 108 yards above average)

32) Tevin Coleman 10.1 fantasy points (actual 9.6)

33) Javorius Allen 50 rushing yards (actual 49)

34) Adam Humphries 5.3 fantasy points (actual 5.1)

35) Carson Wentz 21.1 fantasy points (actual 21.4)

36) Jared Goff would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 149 yards below average)

37) Jacoby Brissett 219 passing yards (actual 212)

38) Alex Collins 7.2 fantasy points (actual 7.4)

39) Ricardo Louis 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

40) Tyreek Hill 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

41) Leonard Fournette projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

42) Christian McCaffrey 51 receiving yards (actual 56)

43) Evan Engram 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

44) George Kittle 42 receiving yards (actual 46)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.