Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

2) Joe Flacco would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 72 yards above average)

3) Philip Rivers 20.2 fantasy points (actual 20.8)

4) Carson Palmer 280 passing yards (actual 291)

5) Tom Brady 315 passing yards (actual 303)

6) Larry Fitzgerald 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

7) Pierre Garcon 9.5 fantasy points (actual 9.4)

8) Matthew Stafford projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

9) LeSean McCoy 60 rushing yards (actual 63)

10) Jeremy Maclin 47 receiving yards (actual 43)

11) Mike Wallace would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 114 yards above average)

12) Danny Amendola 7.8 fantasy points (actual 7.7)

13) Zach Miller 38 receiving yards (actual 39)

14) Brian Hoyer would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 139 yards above average)

15) Dez Bryant 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

16) Eric Decker 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

17) DeMarco Murray 57 rushing yards (actual 58)

18) Jeremy Kerley 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Tyrod Taylor projected pass TD 0.9 (actual 1)

20) Kendall Wright 42 receiving yards (actual 46)

21) Mike Gillislee 49 rushing yards (actual 52)

22) Keenan Allen 71 receiving yards (actual 67)

23) Zach Ertz 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

24) Jaron Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

25) Brandon Williams 18 receiving yards (actual 17)

26) Blake Bortles would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 95)

27) Isaiah Crowell 55 rushing yards (actual 60)

28) Marqise Lee 45 receiving yards (actual 49)

29) Kelvin Benjamin 57 receiving yards (actual 58)

30) Donte Moncrief 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

31) James White 62 total yards (actual 60 yards)

32) Jameis Winston 324 passing yards (actual 334)

33) Melvin Gordon would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 63 yards above average)

34) Jay Ajayi 80 rushing yards (actual 77)

35) Tyler Lockett 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

36) Devin Funchess 58 receiving yards (actual 53)

37) Tyler Kroft 36 receiving yards (actual 38)

38) Adam Humphries 50 receiving yards (actual 51)

39) Jacoby Brissett 19.1 fantasy points (actual 18.0)

40) Ezekiel Elliott 133 total yards (actual 132 yards)

41) Jordan Howard 71 rushing yards (actual 76)

42) Rashard Higgins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)

43) Tyreek Hill 68 receiving yards (actual 68)

44) Deshaun Watson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 58 yards above average)

45) DeShone Kizer would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 87)

46) Christian McCaffrey 9.6 fantasy points (actual 9.8)

47) Joe Mixon 10.7 fantasy points (actual 11.1)

48) Kareem Hunt 97 rushing yards (actual 107)

49) Gerald Everett would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 39 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 5 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 276 2.4 272 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 304 2.1 258 1.8 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 184 0.8 212 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 5 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 115 0.4 109 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 78 0.3 81 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.2 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 5 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 90 1.0 83 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 59 0.2 58 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 41 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w6