Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 282 passing yards (actual 288)

2) Drew Brees projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

3) Joe Flacco would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 113 yards above average)

4) Philip Rivers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 347)

5) Tom Brady 300 passing yards (actual 307)

6) Martellus Bennett 39 receiving yards (actual 39)

7) Jonathan Stewart 68 total yards (actual 68 yards)

8) Aaron Rodgers would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 143 yards below average)

9) Jordy Nelson 77 receiving yards (actual 75)

10) Brandon Marshall 50 receiving yards (actual 46)

11) Delanie Walker 56 receiving yards (actual 51)

12) Kenny Britt would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards above average)

13) LeSean McCoy 108 total yards (actual 108 yards)

14) Mike Wallace would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 48 yards above average)

15) Danny Amendola would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards below average)

16) Dez Bryant would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards above average)

17) Jimmy Graham would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards above average)

18) Antonio Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 84 yards below average)

19) A.J. Green 13.0 fantasy points (actual 12.3)

20) Cam Newton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 127 yards above average)

21) Mark Ingram 42 rushing yards (actual 45)

22) Randall Cobb 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

23) Andy Dalton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 84 yards above average)

24) Bilal Powell would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 134 yards above average)

25) Charles Clay 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

26) Terrelle Pryor would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 31 yards above average)

27) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

28) Alshon Jeffery 9.0 fantasy points (actual 8.9)

29) Marvin Jones 38 receiving yards (actual 42)

30) Deonte Thompson 4.5 fantasy points (actual 4.4)

31) Mike Glennon 228 passing yards (actual 218)

32) Mike Gillislee 53 rushing yards (actual 49)

33) LeVeon Bell 39 receiving yards (actual 42)

34) Luke Willson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

35) Devonta Freeman projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

36) Kelvin Benjamin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 67 yards above average)

37) Jordan Matthews 6.9 fantasy points (actual 7.0)

38) Odell Beckham 92 receiving yards (actual 90)

39) Paul Richardson 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

40) Martavis Bryant 51 receiving yards (actual 48)

41) Allen Hurns 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

42) Adam Thielen would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

43) Nelson Agholor 5.7 fantasy points (actual 5.8)

44) Stefon Diggs 10.0 fantasy points (actual 9.8)

45) Tyler Lockett would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards above average)

46) Chris Conley 32 receiving yards (actual 31)

47) J.J. Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 48 yards below average)

48) Seth Roberts would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 30 yards above average)

49) Carson Wentz 251 passing yards (actual 242)

50) Jared Goff 259 passing yards (actual 255)

51) Jacoby Brissett projected pass TD 0.9 (actual 1)

52) Dak Prescott 23.5 fantasy points (actual 22.6)

53) Ezekiel Elliott 93 rushing yards (actual 85)

54) Michael Thomas 81 receiving yards (actual 89)

55) Sterling Shepard 51 receiving yards (actual 54)

56) Austin Hooper 4.8 fantasy points (actual 5.0)

57) Tyreek Hill 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

58) Robby Anderson 5.8 fantasy points (actual 5.9)

59) Deshaun Watson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 107 yards above average)

60) Leonard Fournette 91 rushing yards (actual 86)

61) Kareem Hunt 105 rushing yards (actual 101)

62) JuJu Smith-Schuster 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

63) Evan Engram 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.2)

64) Gerald Everett would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

65) George Kittle 3.7 fantasy points (actual 3.5)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 4 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 262 1.9 272 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 241 1.9 250 1.8 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 221 0.6 223 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 4 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 147 1.2 108 0.9 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 71 0.2 82 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 45 0.2 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 4 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 74 0.6 81 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 47 0.2 58 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.3 41 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w5