Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 104 yards below average)

2) Carson Palmer 21.0 fantasy points (actual 21.7)

3) Matt Ryan 299 passing yards (actual 294)

4) Tom Brady would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 378)

5) Jonathan Stewart 63 rushing yards (actual 57)

6) Ted Ginn 47 receiving yards (actual 44)

7) Jason Witten would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 75 yards below average)

8) Aaron Rodgers 25.8 fantasy points (actual 24.8)

9) Brandon Marshall would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 53 yards above average)

10) Josh McCown projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

11) Matthew Stafford would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 57 yards above average)

12) Kenny Britt would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 47 yards above average)

13) Jared Cook 44 receiving yards (actual 43)

14) Brian Hoyer would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 186 yards above average)

15) Alex Smith would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 155 yards below average)

16) Eric Decker 49 receiving yards (actual 49)

17) Demaryius Thomas 9.3 fantasy points (actual 9.8)

18) Emmanuel Sanders would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 31 yards above average)

19) Jimmy Graham would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 68 yards above average)

20) A.J. Green would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards above average)

21) Julio Jones 97 receiving yards (actual 91)

22) Mark Ingram 32 receiving yards (actual 30)

23) Charles Clay 43 receiving yards (actual 39)

24) Kirk Cousins would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 156 yards above average)

25) Russell Wilson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 195 yards above average)

26) Lamar Miller 59 rushing yards (actual 56)

27) Alshon Jeffery 61 receiving yards (actual 56)

28) Mohamed Sanu 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

29) Marvin Jones 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

30) Mike Glennon would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 156 yards below average)

31) LeVeon Bell 40 receiving yards (actual 37)

32) DeAndre Hopkins 69 receiving yards (actual 76)

33) Zach Ertz 9.0 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

34) Blake Bortles would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 70 yards above average)

35) Carlos Hyde 85 rushing yards (actual 84)

36) Davante Adams 65 receiving yards (actual 60)

37) Albert Wilson 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

38) Marcus Mariota 20.9 fantasy points (actual 19.7)

39) Todd Gurley 39 receiving yards (actual 36)

40) Melvin Gordon 14.3 fantasy points (actual 13.9)

41) Tevin Coleman 9.2 fantasy points (actual 8.9)

42) Jamison Crowder would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 22 yards above average)

43) Carson Wentz would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 144 yards below average)

44) Ezekiel Elliott would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 24 yards above average)

45) Jordan Howard would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 109 yards above average)

46) Rashard Higgins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 85 yards below average)

47) Austin Hooper would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

48) Seth DeValve 28 receiving yards (actual 29)

49) Tyreek Hill 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

50) Deshaun Watson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 188 yards above average)

51) DeShone Kizer 232 passing yards (actual 242)

52) Leonard Fournette 64 rushing yards (actual 59)

53) Joe Mixon would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 40 yards above average)

54) Evan Engram 42 receiving yards (actual 45)

55) Tarik Cohen 10.2 fantasy points (actual 10.2)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 3 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 274 2.4 277 1.7 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 242 1.8 253 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 294 2.5 223 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 3 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 100 1.0 94 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 73 0.3 86 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 46 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 3 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 95 0.5 85 0.3 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 61 0.6 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 50 0.4 42 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w4