Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 299 passing yards (actual 291)

2) Carson Palmer 284 passing yards (actual 269)

3) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

4) Martellus Bennett 45 receiving yards (actual 43)

5) Ted Ginn 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Vernon Davis would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

7) Delanie Walker 7.2 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

8) LeSean McCoy 15.3 fantasy points (actual 15.9)

9) Brandon LaFell 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Demaryius Thomas 67 receiving yards (actual 67)

11) LeGarrette Blount 47 rushing yards (actual 46)

12) Mark Ingram 73 total yards (actual 71 yards)

13) Tyrod Taylor 213 passing yards (actual 224)

14) Terrelle Pryor 65 receiving yards (actual 66)

15) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 67 yards below average)

16) T.Y. Hilton would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

17) Travis Kelce 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

18) Latavius Murray would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 54 yards below average)

19) Blake Bortles projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

20) Derek Carr 270 passing yards (actual 262)

21) Jeremy Hill would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

22) Brandin Cooks 9.3 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

23) C.J. Fiedorowicz 4.8 fantasy points (actual 4.6)

24) Dontrelle Inman would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 51 yards below average)

25) Marcus Mariota 271 passing yards (actual 256)

26) Todd Gurley 95 total yards (actual 96 yards)

27) Amari Cooper 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

28) Ty Montgomery 51 rushing yards (actual 54)

29) Tyrell Williams 54 receiving yards (actual 54)

30) Ezekiel Elliott 13.7 fantasy points (actual 14.0)

31) Jordan Howard 13.0 fantasy points (actual 12.6)

32) Eli Rogers would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

33) Robby Anderson 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 1 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 271 1.4 271 1.4 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 300 2.3 300 2.3 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 186 1.1 186 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 1 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 0.0 99 0.0 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 101 0.6 101 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 36 0.2 36 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 1 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 124 0.0 124 0.0 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 60 0.2 60 0.2 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 36 0.2 36 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w2