Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 235 passing yards (actual 228)

2) Drew Brees 285 passing yards (actual 271)

3) Joe Flacco 16.2 fantasy points (actual 16.8)

4) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

5) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

6) Jay Cutler would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 79 yards above average)

7) Jordy Nelson 35 receiving yards (actual 33)

8) Delanie Walker 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

9) LeSean McCoy would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 85 yards above average)

10) Jeremy Maclin 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

11) Mike Wallace 6.8 fantasy points (actual 7.2)

12) Alex Smith 266 passing yards (actual 268)

13) Dez Bryant 72 receiving yards (actual 73)

14) Jermaine Gresham 2.6 fantasy points (actual 2.7)

15) Eric Decker 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

16) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 213)

17) Julio Jones 99 receiving yards (actual 98)

18) Cam Newton projected pass TD 1.0 (actual 1)

19) DeMarco Murray 33 rushing yards (actual 34)

20) Randall Cobb 38 receiving yards (actual 39)

21) Russell Wilson 21.7 fantasy points (actual 21.8)

22) Marvin Jones 65 receiving yards (actual 64)

23) Rishard Matthews 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

24) Deonte Thompson 31 receiving yards (actual 34)

25) Terrance Williams 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

26) Travis Kelce 74 receiving yards (actual 74)

27) C.J. Anderson 45 rushing yards (actual 48)

28) Blake Bortles 19.5 fantasy points (actual 18.5)

29) Sammy Watkins 8.5 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

30) Kelvin Benjamin 36 receiving yards (actual 38)

31) Adam Thielen 6.0 receptions (actual = 6)

32) Melvin Gordon 84 rushing yards (actual 78)

33) Jay Ajayi 7.7 fantasy points (actual 8.0)

34) Stefon Diggs 62 receiving yards (actual 64)

35) Seth Roberts 2.4 fantasy points (actual 2.4)

36) Adam Humphries 2.4 fantasy points (actual 2.5)

37) Jared Goff projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

38) Jacoby Brissett would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 69)

39) Josh Doctson 36 receiving yards (actual 34)

40) Hunter Henry 49 receiving yards (actual 50)

41) Tyreek Hill 77 receiving yards (actual 75)

42) DeShone Kizer 219 passing yards (actual 214)

43) Kareem Hunt 21 receiving yards (actual 22)

44) Evan Engram 51 receiving yards (actual 54)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 14 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 305 1.8 269 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 212 1.3 257 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 200 1.6 214 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 14 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 100 1.0 105 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 103 0.7 84 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 43 0.3 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 14 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 108 0.4 86 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 58 0.6 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w15