Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Joe Flacco would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 99 yards above average)

2) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

3) Jay Cutler would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 57 yards above average)

4) Delanie Walker 63 receiving yards (actual 63)

5) Josh McCown would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 99 yards above average)

6) LeSean McCoy 110 total yards (actual 102 yards)

7) Dez Bryant 63 receiving yards (actual 61)

8) Jimmy Graham 8.5 fantasy points (actual 8.6)

9) Kyle Rudolph 38 receiving yards (actual 36)

10) Andy Dalton 18.6 fantasy points (actual 19.3)

11) Doug Baldwin 78 receiving yards (actual 84)

12) Russell Wilson 24.8 fantasy points (actual 24.2)

13) Lamar Miller 95 total yards (actual 94 yards)

14) T.Y. Hilton 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

15) Marvin Jones 8.5 fantasy points (actual 9.0)

16) Russell Shepard 2.8 fantasy points (actual 2.9)

17) Eric Ebron 35 receiving yards (actual 38)

18) Todd Gurley 82 rushing yards (actual 74)

19) Melvin Gordon 80 rushing yards (actual 77)

20) Tevin Coleman would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

21) Jay Ajayi 38 rushing yards (actual 35)

22) Javorius Allen would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 20 yards below average)

23) Jamison Crowder 73 receiving yards (actual 67)

24) Tyler Kroft 32 receiving yards (actual 30)

25) J.J. Nelson 4.3 fantasy points (actual 4.2)

26) Nick Boyle 12 receiving yards (actual 11)

27) Jared Goff projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

28) Jacoby Brissett projected pass TD 0.9 (actual 1)

29) Alex Collins 83 rushing yards (actual 75)

30) Robby Anderson 10.9 fantasy points (actual 11.4)

31) DeShone Kizer 219 passing yards (actual 215)

32) Leonard Fournette 20 receiving yards (actual 22)

33) Cooper Kupp 66 receiving yards (actual 68)

34) George Kittle 21 receiving yards (actual 20)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 13 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 249 1.4 267 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 252 1.5 262 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 265 1.3 215 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 13 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 114 0.7 106 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 91 0.5 82 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 45 0.3 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 13 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 56 0.4 82 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 78 0.5 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 42 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w14

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