Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Matt Ryan would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 60 yards above average)

2) Frank Gore 58 rushing yards (actual 62)

3) Ted Ginn 7.0 fantasy points (actual 7.1)

4) Jason Witten 42 receiving yards (actual 44)

5) Jordy Nelson 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

6) Delanie Walker 64 receiving yards (actual 63)

7) Matthew Stafford 259 passing yards (actual 250)

8) Mike Wallace 46 receiving yards (actual 48)

9) Brandon LaFell 37 receiving yards (actual 33)

10) Rob Gronkowski 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

11) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 169)

12) Tyrod Taylor projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

13) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

14) Alshon Jeffery 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

15) Cole Beasley 21 receiving yards (actual 19)

16) Derek Carr 248 passing yards (actual 253)

17) Sammy Watkins 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Mike Evans 75 receiving yards (actual 78)

19) Brandin Cooks 88 receiving yards (actual 83)

20) Jarvis Landry 77 receiving yards (actual 70)

21) Paul Richardson 7.0 fantasy points (actual 7.0)

22) Eric Ebron 35 receiving yards (actual 34)

23) Adam Thielen 87 receiving yards (actual 89)

24) Todd Gurley 81 rushing yards (actual 74)

25) Melvin Gordon 94 total yards (actual 88 yards)

26) Javorius Allen would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 27 yards below average)

27) Nelson Agholor 35 receiving yards (actual 32)

28) Stefon Diggs 65 receiving yards (actual 66)

29) Tyler Kroft 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

30) Seth Roberts 26 receiving yards (actual 26)

31) Carson Wentz 24.7 fantasy points (actual 24.0)

32) Jared Goff projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

33) Austin Hooper 38 receiving yards (actual 38)

34) Leonard Fournette would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 68 yards below average)

35) Joe Mixon would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 77 yards above average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 12 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 268 2.0 268 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 253 1.3 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 216 1.0 212 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 12 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 93 0.0 105 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 88 0.5 81 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 43 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 12 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 149 1.3 87 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 63 0.3 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 38 0.3 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w13