Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) Joe Flacco projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

3) Philip Rivers 243 passing yards (actual 251)

4) Tom Brady 26.4 fantasy points (actual 25.6)

5) Vernon Davis 7.1 fantasy points (actual 6.7)

6) Dez Bryant 65 receiving yards (actual 63)

7) Brandon LaFell 35 receiving yards (actual 37)

8) Eric Decker 3.9 fantasy points (actual 3.7)

9) Demaryius Thomas 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

10) Julio Jones 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

11) Mark Ingram 23 receiving yards (actual 21)

12) Andy Dalton 18.2 fantasy points (actual 18.6)

13) Doug Baldwin 10.6 fantasy points (actual 10.0)

14) Russell Wilson 261 passing yards (actual 258)

15) Lamar Miller 57 rushing yards (actual 61)

16) Alshon Jeffery 66 receiving yards (actual 67)

17) Marvin Jones 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Robert Woods 8.3 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

19) DeAndre Hopkins 76 receiving yards (actual 76)

20) C.J. Anderson 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.6)

21) Jaron Brown 23 receiving yards (actual 22)

22) Blake Bortles projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

23) Sammy Watkins 40 receiving yards (actual 36)

24) Mike Evans 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

25) Adam Thielen 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

26) Marcus Mariota projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

27) Melvin Gordon 89 rushing yards (actual 80)

28) Jay Ajayi 10.5 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

29) Ameer Abdullah 9.7 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

30) Javorius Allen would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

31) Jamison Crowder 7.7 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

32) Tyler Lockett 40 receiving yards (actual 37)

33) J.J. Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

34) Carson Wentz projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

35) Alex Collins 67 total yards (actual 71 yards)

36) Tyreek Hill 70 receiving yards (actual 68)

37) Stephen Anderson 2.3 fantasy points (actual 2.2)

38) DeShone Kizer would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 179)

39) JuJu Smith-Schuster 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 11 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 282 2.0 268 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 267 1.6 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 206 1.2 211 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 11 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 105 0.9 106 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 66 0.6 80 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.3 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 11 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 144 3.0 80 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 72 0.5 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 43 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w12