Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) Carson Palmer 271 passing yards (actual 284)

3) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

4) Frank Gore 67 rushing yards (actual 73)

5) Delanie Walker 8.4 fantasy points (actual 8.3)

6) Matthew Stafford 270 passing yards (actual 260)

7) LeSean McCoy 145 total yards (actual 145 yards)

8) Rashad Jennings 43 rushing yards (actual 44)

9) Golden Tate 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

10) Antonio Brown 15.2 fantasy points (actual 15.6)

11) Kyle Rudolph 49 receiving yards (actual 53)

12) Lance Kendricks 34 receiving yards (actual 36)

13) Andrew Hawkins 20 receiving yards (actual 21)

14) Andrew Luck 287 passing yards (actual 288)

15) T.Y. Hilton 98 receiving yards (actual 105)

16) Rishard Matthews 9.6 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

17) Cole Beasley 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Jack Doyle 4.7 fantasy points (actual 4.6)

19) Isaiah Crowell 54 rushing yards (actual 54)

20) Kelvin Benjamin 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

21) Brandin Cooks 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

22) Davante Adams 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

23) Odell Beckham 15.0 fantasy points (actual 15.0)

24) C.J. Fiedorowicz 42 receiving yards (actual 42)

25) Corey Brown 12 receiving yards (actual 12)

26) Jameis Winston 285 passing yards (actual 277)

27) Todd Gurley 14.7 fantasy points (actual 14.7)

28) David Johnson 143 total yards (actual 136 yards)

29) Amari Cooper 78 receiving yards (actual 72)

30) DeVante Parker 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Tyrell Williams 69 receiving yards (actual 64)

32) Will Tye 25 receiving yards (actual 23)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 16 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 275 2.6 281 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 327 2.0 261 1.4 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 199 0.9 222 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 16 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 105 1.1 112 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 69 0.4 79 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 47 0.4 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 16 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 103 0.8 76 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 60 0.2 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 50 0.4 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w17