• Kyler Murray
  • QB
  • , Arizona Cardinals
  • 22
  • 207 lbs
  • 5' 10"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
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Full Season Projection

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  • $5600
  • 20.29
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  • $7300
  • 19.34
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  • $26
  • 19.34
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  • $11000
  • 20.29
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Murray will start immediately in Arizona, so the playing time will be there. He'll have Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and a few good rookie prospects (Andy Isabella, Hakeem Butler, KeeSean Johnson) to throw to, so the receiving corps isn't bad either. I use a regression model to generate a starting point for rookie quarterbacks and Murray comes in with the highest projected touchdown percentage, the highest projected yards per attempt, the third-highest projected rushing yards per game and the fourth-highest projected rushing touchdowns in the 42-player sample. His passing numbers (in the same system at Oklahoma) were eerily similar to Baker Mayfield's and Murray is a much better runner. Keep this fact in mind—since 2011, the four top scoring rookie quarterbacks were Cam Newton (706 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns), Robert Griffin III (815 yards, 7 touchdowns), Dak Prescott (282 yards, 6 touchdowns) and Russell Wilson (489 yards, 4 touchdowns), so being able to run will really help Murray’s chances to find fantasy success as a rookie. If the offensive line improves, Murray will have a shot at QB1 numbers.

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Scouting report

by Bob Harris

ARI QB Kyler Murray - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
New HC Kliff Kingsbury decided to bring in "his quarterback" rather than work with Arizona's 2018 first-round pick Josh Rosen. It's understandable. As NFL.com suggested, coaching in the NFL is difficult enough without passing up a quarterback you believe in. According to the Boston Globe's Jim McBride, Kyler Murray's mix of arm strength and nimbleness should wipe out a lot of the doubt about whether he can survive and thrive in the spread-heavy NFL, where coordinators can tailor offenses -- and specific weekly game plans (expect a Patriots'-like approach from Kingsbury in that regard) -- to suit the skills of their signal caller. McBride added that Murray is a master at moving the pocket and manipulating defenses to find passing lanes and deliver darts all over the field. His athleticism is so elite that it might be logical to project him at a number of positions, but that'd be wrong, according to ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr. "He's a quarterback. No doubt about it," Kiper said. "His arm strength, his accuracy, his football IQ -- today's NFL suits him perfectly." The Cardinals, who also loaded up on WRs after picking Murray, are banking on it.

Fantasy Downside
All the pieces are in place. The Cardinals are clearly committed. Yet those of us buying into Murray need to do so with full awareness of the associated uncertainty.

2019 Bottom Line
Sometimes a player with a set of skills comes along and it's hard to overlook them. Especially when that player is such an ideal fit for the scheme and situation. Again, the Cardinals fired a coach after one season. They gave up on a first-round quarterback after one season. While nobody is going so far to say Kingsbury was hired specifically because the team wanted to land Murray with the first pick overall, the end result is the end result. Drafting Murray as your QB1 and backing him up with a solid but steady veteran isn't the worst idea ever. And it might yield huge dividends.

2019 Strength of Schedule - ARI
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
18
DET
7
@BAL
15
CAR
19
SEA
24
@CIN
27
ATL
22
@NYG
25
@NO
20
SF
28
@TB
20
@SF
BYE16
LAR
12
PIT
4
CLE
19
@SEA
16
@LAR

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2018 Game Stats