• D.J. Moore
  • WR
  • , Carolina Panthers
  • 22
  • 215 lbs
  • 5' 11"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
102788255172

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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Moore began his rookie season playing about 25% to 50% of the snaps, but once the Panthers gave him starter snaps (70%+), his production spiked to 4.2-60-.10 or 9.7 PPG in half-PPR scoring, which are low-end fantasy WR2 numbers. Since 2000, Moore was the 13th rookie receiver who posted at least 700 receiving yards at 21-years-old. The other 12 receivers saw an average per game increase of 30% in targets, a 33% increase in receptions, a 28% increase in yards and a 19% increase in touchdowns. When these increases are applied to Moore’s rookie numbers, he’s looking at a 73-catch, 1004-yard, 2.4-touchdown season as a sophomore. That’s about what he averaged in the final 10 games from a fantasy points standpoint, so he probably has some room to grow from there, especially if his touchdowns regress positively to the mean for someone getting his sort of usage. If he’s able to score 7-8 touchdowns and keep up that production, he’s looking at a midrange WR2 season.

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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

CAR WR D.J. Moore - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

After a slow start to his rookie season, D.J. Moore improved over the second half. Over his final seven games, he was targeted at least seven times in all but one and he had an explosive outing against the Lions on November 11th, with seven catches, 157 yards and a touchdown. Moore finished the season with 788 yards and with Devin Funchess gone to the Colts in free agency, he enters 2019 as the top receiver on the Carolina depth chart. Moore has speed, talent and tremendous upside as a potential WR1 in a Norv Turner offense.

Fantasy Downside

I say Norv Turner offense because he’s always been pretty kind to passers and pass-catchers, but it’s possible that the statement is a little outdated. His recent three-year stint in Minnesota failed to produce a top-ten receiver and his last elite pass-catcher was Josh Gordon with the Browns back in 2013. Also, quarterback Cam Newton is not aging well. He’s been nicked up in each of the past three seasons – although he’s mostly played through his nagging injuries – and had shoulder surgery during the offseason. If this is the year Newton falls apart, it’ll be hard for Moore to have the breakout season everyone expects. Also, Moore only found the end zone twice last year, so all the hype may be a bit premature.

2019 Bottom Line

Moore is a bit of a lottery ticket, but his sixth-round ADP in 12-team leagues makes it hard to pull the trigger on him. Two rounds later he becomes someone with enough upside to warrant the risk, but sixth round makes him a fringe WR2/WR3 on your roster, and that’s expecting a whole lot of progression in his second season for that kind of investment. That being said, Moore does have great upside, and he’s not someone to avoid by any means. Owners just need to know he’s far from a sure thing.

2019 Strength of Schedule - CAR
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
23
LAR
29
TB
10
@ARI
30
@HOU
1
JAX
29
@TB
BYE16
@SF
27
TEN
21
@GB
20
ATL
25
@NO
17
WAS
20
@ATL
19
SEA
6
@IND
25
NO

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2019 Game Stats
WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1DAL0000-13003.000.30.317/6725.4%
2@ATL1511251.0017007.0011.812.817/6725.4%
3CIN13023.000000-0.31.333/6749.3%
4BYE--------------
5NYG4490412.251180018.006.710.729/7140.8%
6@WAS4590514.751180218.003.77.727/6045.0%
7@PHI329059.670000-2.95.927/5945.8%
8BAL5900618.002390019.5012.917.946/6570.8%
9TB1160216.001320032.004.85.853/6285.5%
10@PIT420055.0015005.002.56.549/5786.0%
11@DET71571822.430000-21.728.745/5877.6%
12SEA8910911.3817007.009.817.854/5991.5%
13@TB4440811.002210010.506.510.566/7094.3%
14@CLE5670813.4010000.006.711.767/7490.5%
15NO212036.001220122.001.43.457/5898.3%
16ATL219079.500000-1.93.986/9194.5%
17@NO4810820.250000-8.112.159/7281.9%
Per game3.4449.250.135.1314.330.8110.7500.1913.236.389.8145.75/66.0668.91%
Totals5578828214.33131720313.23102157732/105768.91%