• Sammy Watkins
  • WR
  • , Kansas City Chiefs
  • 26
  • 211 lbs
  • 6' 1"
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
7551934052

Full Season Projection

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  • 10.71
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  • $6300
  • 8.61
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  • $13
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  • $9500
  • 10.71
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Draft note
by John Paulsen
Watkins had a couple of low-snap games (7%, 15%) that weighed down his per game averages. When those are removed, he averaged 4.9-64-0.38 on 6.6 targets per game in eight games, which are high-end fantasy WR2 numbers. Given that he has missed 18 of his last 64 games, there is some injury risk baked into his projection, but he has as much upside as anyone being drafted in his range.

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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

KC WR Sammy Watkins - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Sammy Watkins was a sneakily good option in 2018 before his injury sidelined him for the season. His points per game were affected by a few low-snap outings (7%, 15%). If you count those out, he was on a 4.9-64-.38 pace, which comes out to 78-1030-6 over the course of the season. He’s only 26 years old with a lot of talent in a great offense with arguably the best quarterback in the league.

Fantasy Downside
Watkins’ downside for 2019 is the same as it’s been for his entire career: injuries. He’s missed 18 of his last 64 games, and even when he doesn’t miss entire games he may play through injuries and limit his full value. He hasn’t surpassed 600+ receiving yards in any of his last three seasons, so while the talent is clearly there, the production just hasn’t been.

2019 Bottom Line
When healthy, Watkins can put up WR2 numbers. He was on pace for it last season before being sidelined. But his injury risk knocks him down to WR3 range. He’s a high-risk, high-reward type of player. If you have other talented receivers in your lineup, it might be worth the risk to draft Watkins so you won’t be burned in case he flops. But if you’re able to select him later in the draft, he could end up being a real value pick.

2019 Strength of Schedule - KC
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
1
@JAX
18
@OAK
7
BAL
14
@DET
6
IND
30
HOU
13
@DEN
21
GB
3
MIN
27
@TEN
2
@LAC
BYE18
OAK
22
@NE
13
DEN
9
@CHI
2
LAC

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2018 Game Stats
WeekOppRecRecYdsRecTDTgtsYPRRuAttRuYdsRuTDFumYPCSTDPPRSnaps%
1@LAC321057.000000-2.15.151/5691.1%
2@PIT61000716.671310031.0013.119.148/5882.8%
3SF5551811.002200010.0013.518.568/7689.5%
4@DEN0000-0000-0.00.012/7815.4%
5JAX6780813.000000-7.813.860/7085.7%
6@NE218049.001-100-1.001.73.754/54100.0%
7CIN4740718.500000-7.411.460/7085.7%
8DEN81072913.380000-22.730.755/5894.8%
9@CLE5620512.4012002.006.411.449/6476.6%
10ARI--------------
11@LAR14014.000000-0.41.45/726.9%
12BYE--------------
13@OAK--------------
14BAL--------------
15LAC--------------
16@SEA--------------
17OAK--------------
Per game4.0051.900.305.4012.980.505.200010.407.5111.5146.20/65.6072.84%
Totals4051935412.985520010.4075.1115.1462/65672.84%