• Cooper Kupp
  • WR
  • , Los Angeles Rams
  • 27
  • 198 lbs
  • 6' 2"

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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs Arizona Cardinals
Cooper Kupp is riding a four-game touchdown streak heading into Week 17, despite a high-variance snap share over that timeframe. Despite a number of disappointing fantasy weeks in the middle of the season that followed his white-hot start to the season, Kupp currently ranks as the WR6 for 2019 and will finish the season with career-highs in targets, yards, and touchdowns.

Kupp may see a lower-than-normal snap share since the outcome of this week's Cardinals/Rams game won't have much meaningful influence on the Rams' future prospects, but he's not dealing with any injuries and should still see enough volume to put up useful fantasy stats for redraft leagues with a Week 17 championship. Kupp's underwhelming yardage totals of late should almost certainly ensure a low ownership percentage in DFS, but at $6,800 on DraftKings and $7,400 on FanDuel, there are better wide receiver values available.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at San Francisco 49ers
Cooper Kupp's dominant first half of the 2019 season is a distant memory, as his decent-but-unspectacular second half continued with a WR26 finish in Week 15. Kupp has caught every one of his last 16 targets over the previous 3 games, and he's also scored a touchdown in each of those matchups. That's made Kupp an extremely consistent fringe-WR2, cold comfort for fantasy owners hoping they'd landed a high-end WR1.

The Rams travel to San Francisco to face a 49ers defense with an aFPA to wide receivers that ranks 3rd in the NFL. Kupp lines up in the slot for the majority of his snaps, where he'll see plenty of coverage from 49ers cornerback D.J. Reed, which should be a challenge for Kupp, but it's not a reason to stay away from him. It appears as though his 29% snap share in Week 14 was just an aberration, as he bounced back with a 92% snap share last week. Kupp should see enough target volume to again make him a fairly safe bet as a WR2.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Dallas Cowboys
Cooper Kupp finished as the WR28 for Week 14, which weren't the WR1 numbers I expected, nor even quite WR2 numbers, but his 12.5 fantasy points shouldn't have torpedoed too many fantasy teams. We're a long way from Kupp's repeated WR1 outings, and his 12.2% pre-bye touch rate. His touch rate since Week 9 has dropped to 7.5%, but he remains healthy and always capable of a big week.

Kupp faces the best cornerback matchup among the Rams' starting receiving trio against Cowboys slot cornerback Jourdan Lewis, and his owners should hope this equates to more looks after weeks of being out-targeted by Robert Woods. Dallas has been exploited by opposing slot receivers recently, with the likes of Marvin Jones, Julian Edelman, Cole Beasley all scoring between 11.7 and 20.0 fantasy points against them. Kupp should return high-end WR2 numbers this week.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Seattle Seahawks
Cooper Kupp came very close to a return to his WR1 ways last week, finishing as the WR16 with 65 yards and a touchdown on six receptions. A matchup with the Cardinals' sieve-like passing defense certainly didn't hurt, but Kupp was out-targeted by both Robert Woods and tight end Tyler Higbee. Through Week 14, Kupp has the second-highest offensive snap share among Rams wide receivers at 87%, and his 0.28 PPR points per snap lead the group.

Kupp faces the Seahawks in Week 14 in a game that Vegas projects to be among the highest-scoring of the week. The Seahawks rank 18th in aFPA to wide receivers and ninth in aFPA to running backs, which further indicates plenty of opportunity for Kupp. Kupp also draws the most favorable cornerback matchup among Rams receivers against Akeem King, who took over slot cornerback duties from recently-released Jamar Taylor. This might be Kupp's final stress-free start of the fantasy playoffs with matchups against the Cowboys and 49ers incoming, but for Week 14 he's a solid start as a WR1.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Arizona Cardinals
Cooper Kupp's fantasy output before his Week 9 bye contrasts starkly with his performance in the three games since. Kupp was the fantasy WR5 from Weeks 1-8, but he's been the fantasy WR65 from Week 10 through Week 12.

The Rams finally emerge from facing a stretch of extremely strong passing defenses to face a Cardinals defense in Week 13 that ranks 26th in aFPA to wide receivers, making this a good opportunity for Kupp to return to his pre-bye domination. The Rams' struggles against a tough schedule have almost certainly made fantasy owners hesitant to rely on any of their offensive skill players, but for this week at least, Cooper Kupp should return WR1 numbers.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Baltimore Ravens
From Week 1 through Week 8, Cooper Kupp was fantasy's WR2 overall in 0.5 PPR scoring formats. Kupp has been the WR72 over the past two games since the Rams' Week 9 bye, in no small part due to a particularly difficult stretch of opposing defenses faced by the Rams. Kupp remains the WR7 overall, which is the same rank as his 2.37 yards per route run, one of the most predictive metrics for wide receiver production.

While the Ravens defense is currently performing as one of the best overall in the NFL, they haven't shut down wide receiver fantasy production. Their 33.9 aFPA to wide receivers is the 16th-most, and they're averaging 23.5 targets per game to opposing wide receiver groups, fourth-most. Opposing teams have passed at a higher rate against Baltimore than their average rate for the season, at least partially due to the need to keep pace with Baltimore's scoring. If Baltimore can continue is offensive dominance, Kupp should see enough target volume as a result to return WR1 numbers.

by Andrew Fleischer

LAR WR Cooper Kupp - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 vs Chicago Bears
Going into the Rams' Week 9 bye, Cooper Kupp was the WR2 overall in 0.5 PPR leagues. Cooper Kupp scoring zero fantasy points against the Steelers was perhaps the most surprising development of Week 10. Kupp saw a 92% snap share, so credit the Steelers defense for covering him so effectively. Kupp saw a season-low four targets and was unable to secure any of them for a catch. Kupp ranks as the WR6 through Week 10, which speaks to his season-long dominance.

The Chicago Bears have an aFPA to wide receivers of just 30.7, the eighth-lowest figure, but Kupp will often draw Chicago's most forgiving cornerback matchup against Buster Skrine in the slot. This remains an uphill battle for fantasy dominance, but it would be a mistake to put too much weight on Kupp's Week 10 shocker. Start him as a WR1 as you normally would, but with slightly tempered expectations given the opponent.

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