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Tuesday, July 10, 2018, 8:56am
According to an article in the Baltimore Sun, Ravens RB Alex Collins looks to be the team's No. 1 RB: "With Terrance West departing for the New Orleans Saints and Danny Woodhead retiring, Alex Collins, who ended last season ranked 11th in the league in rushing with 973 yards, no longer has to worry as much about sharing carries. He enters camp as the favorite to open the regular season as the No. 1 running back. But if Kenneth Dixon can prove that the health of his knee is not a problem, the 2016 fourth-round draft pick could challenge Collins atop the depth chart. Javorius Allen, who caught 46 passes for 250 yards and two touchdowns last season, is a reliable target out of the backfield. Patrick Ricard’s versatility in playing fullback and defensive end is a strength."
Dixon was a hot fantasy commodity before getting suspended and then missing all of last year with an injury. In that time, Collins emerged as the team's top back and looks to be the favorite heading into camp with Dixon having some work to do to catch him. But as our own John Paulsen said: Collins averaged 5.60 YPC in the eight games before Baltimore’s Week 10 bye, and just 3.80 YPC after. His fantasy production was better after the bye (16.7 points per game versus 7.3 before the bye), but as his workload increased, his rushing efficiency dropped. Head coach John Harbaugh would not to commit to Collins as his starter heading into 2018, so this is a situation to monitor.
Posted by Brandon Niles
Friday, June 29, 2018 - 8:23pm
After struggling to find the field with Seattle, Alex Collins had a breakout season last year with the Ravens, rushing for 973 yards on 4.6 yards per carry. He also scored six rushing touchdowns and caught 23 passes. The Ravens didn’t go after a running back high in the draft, leaving Collins the likely starter in Baltimore for the 2018 season. Should he continue to develop—he’ll be only 24 years old when the season starts—he could be a consistent fantasy producer on a team that desperately needs a steady runner in the backfield.
Collins will be battling Kenneth Dixon and Javorius Allen for touches, and if he struggles early on, it’s likely he’ll be on a short leash. Dixon was heralded as a potential solution before injuries and a suspension limited his chance to earn the job. Allen is best suited for a third-down role, but he’ll continue to eat into Collins’ snaps and receiving production. Also, the Ravens let starting center Ryan Jensen sign with the Buccaneers in free agency.
2018 Bottom Line
Collins is too risky to count on early in the draft, but his value as a fifth-round option in most fantasy leagues puts him right on par with some of the rookie running backs. That makes sense given his limited experience. Fantasy owners should consider him a solid potential RB2 option in the middle rounds.
2018 Strength of Schedule - BAL
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
2017 Game Stats
|Per game||14.13||64.87||0.40||0.13||4.59||1.53||12.47||0||2.40||8.13||9.87||11.40||25.20/68.00||37.12% |